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Japan vs Sweden prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 2.30
X 3.50
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.37 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Japan 79%@2.30
Draw 11%@3.50
Sweden 10%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 84%@1.28
Under 1.5 16%@6.72
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.68
No 44%@2.20
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 71%@1.70
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

JapanModelSweden
1.38xG1.04
51%Ball possession49%
12Shots10
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made10
JapanRealSweden
1.31xG0.42
52%Ball possession48%
8Shots10
3Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
20Fouls made11
JapanReal · ModelSweden
1.311.38xG0.421.04
52%51%Ball possession48%49%
812Shots1010
36Shots on goal56
24Corner kicks83
11Yellow cards21
31Offside calls22
2012Fouls made1110

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

JapanPer gameSweden
1.9Goals for / game1.7
0.8Goals against / game2.2
47%Ball possession47%
11.1Shots per game10.8
3.9Corners per game4.0
1.44Expected goals1.18

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

JapanRateSweden
70%Wins30%
70%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
30%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Japan DWWLW
D 1 Oct Japan Ecuador 0 0 1.63 5.80
W 28 Sept Japan Venezuela 2 1 1.23 13.50
W 24 Sept Japan Uruguay 3 1 1.75 5.10
L 29 Jun Brazil Japan 2 1 1.85 5.15
W 21 Jun Tunisia Japan 0 4 8.50 1.45
D 14 Jun Netherlands Japan 2 2 2.08 4.00
W 31 May Japan Iceland 1 0 1.20 16.00
W 31 Mar England Japan 0 1 1.65 6.00
W 28 Mar Scotland Japan 0 1 3.20 2.40
W 18 Nov Japan Bolivia 3 0 1.15 22.00
Sweden DWWLL
D 2 Oct Bosnia H Sweden 1 1 2.77 2.52
W 28 Sept Sweden Poland 3 1 2.05 3.70
W 25 Sept Sweden Romania 2 1 1.50 6.75
L 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
L 20 Jun Netherlands Sweden 5 1 1.78 5.10
W 15 Jun Sweden Tunisia 5 1 1.91 5.00
D 4 Jun Sweden Greece 2 2 1.95 4.20
L 1 Jun Norway Sweden 3 1 1.72 4.75
W 31 Mar Sweden Poland 3 2 2.18 3.75
W 26 Mar Ukraine Sweden 1 3 3.40 2.35

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.