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Japan vs Ecuador prediction — Kirin Cup

Kirin Cup · World
Japan €300.85m
Full time 0 : 0
Ecuador €187.05m
1 1.63
X 3.90
2 5.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
72%Chance
Japan win 1 Odds @1.63 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Japan 72%@1.63
Draw 17%@3.90
Ecuador 11%@5.80
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 63%@1.38
Under 1.5 37%@2.35
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.20
No 56%@1.70
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 57%@1.57
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

JapanModelEcuador
1.35xG1.04
48%Ball possession52%
12Shots11
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
JapanRealEcuador
47%Ball possession53%
7Shots5
1Shots on goal1
2Corner kicks4
0Yellow cards1
3Offside calls1
7Fouls made11
JapanReal · ModelEcuador
47%48%Ball possession53%52%
712Shots511
14Shots on goal14
24Corner kicks44
02Yellow cards12
31Offside calls11
711Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

JapanPer gameEcuador
1.9Goals for / game0.9
0.7Goals against / game0.9
43%Ball possession52%
9.4Shots per game13.5
2.9Corners per game5.4
1.22Expected goals1.41

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

JapanRateEcuador
70%Wins30%
70%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Japan WWLDW
W 28 Sept Japan Venezuela 2 1 1.23 13.50
W 24 Sept Japan Uruguay 3 1 1.75 5.10
L 29 Jun Brazil Japan 2 1 1.85 5.15
D 26 Jun Japan Sweden 1 1 2.30 3.55
W 21 Jun Tunisia Japan 0 4 8.50 1.45
D 14 Jun Netherlands Japan 2 2 2.08 4.00
W 31 May Japan Iceland 1 0 1.20 16.00
W 31 Mar England Japan 0 1 1.65 6.00
W 28 Mar Scotland Japan 0 1 3.20 2.40
W 18 Nov Japan Bolivia 3 0 1.15 22.00
Ecuador LLDDL
L 24 Sept South Korea Ecuador 3 0 2.37 3.40
L 1 Jul Mexico Ecuador 2 0 2.27 4.25
D 25 Jun Ecuador Germany 0 0 5.35 1.65
D 21 Jun Ecuador Curacao 0 0 1.19 21.00
L 15 Jun Ivory Coast Ecuador 1 0 3.55 2.55
W 7 Jun Ecuador Guatemala 3 0 1.21 20.00
W 31 May Ecuador Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.52 7.40
D 31 Mar Netherlands Ecuador 1 1 1.59 7.00
D 27 Mar Morocco Ecuador 1 1 2.61 3.25
W 19 Nov Ecuador New Zealand 2 0 1.40 10.50

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

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