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Italy vs Turkey prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Italy €873.50m
Mon, 5 Oct 19:45
Turkey €426.50m
1 1.44
X 5.30
2 7.20

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Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

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This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ItalyPer gameTurkey
1.6Goals for / game1.2
0.9Goals against / game1.4
52%Ball possession57%
16.0Shots per game18.5
5.9Corners per game7.2
1.55Expected goals1.57

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ItalyRateTurkey
60%Wins50%
80%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Italy DWLWW
D 2 Oct France Italy 1 1 1.52 6.60
W 28 Sept Turkiye Italy 1 4 2.95 2.50
L 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
W 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
W 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
D 31 Mar Bosnia H Italy 1 1 9.00 1.52
W 26 Mar Italy N. Ireland 2 0 1.28 16.00
L 16 Nov Italy Norway 1 4 2.27 3.40
W 13 Nov Moldova Italy 0 2 25.00 1.10
W 14 Oct Italy Israel 3 0 1.19 14.50
Turkey LLLWL
L 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
L 28 Sept Turkiye Italy 1 4 2.95 2.50
L 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
W 26 Jun Turkiye USA 3 2 3.55 2.07
L 20 Jun Turkiye Paraguay 0 1 2.12 4.20
L 14 Jun Australia Turkiye 2 0 5.53 1.75
W 6 Jun Venezuela Turkiye 1 2 6.20 1.57
W 1 Jun Turkiye Macedonia 4 0 1.22 14.00
W 31 Mar Kosovo Turkiye 0 1 4.10 2.02
W 26 Mar Türkiye Romania 1 0 1.50 7.50

Past meetings

Italy
1·0·0
Turkey
  • Sept 2026 Turkiye 1 - 4 Italy
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