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Italy vs Belgium prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Italy €856.50m
Full time 0 : 2
Belgium €568.80m
1 2.25
X 3.70
2 3.35

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.22 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Italy 27%@2.25
Draw 16%@3.70
Belgium 57%@3.35
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.22
Under 1.5 25%@3.66
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.56
No 42%@2.40
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.51
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ItalyModelBelgium
1.49xG1.52
53%Ball possession47%
19Shots16
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
ItalyRealBelgium
1.52xG2.69
56%Ball possession44%
21Shots19
6Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
12Fouls made11
ItalyReal · ModelBelgium
1.521.49xG2.691.52
56%53%Ball possession44%47%
2119Shots1916
66Shots on goal85
46Corner kicks84
22Yellow cards42
11Offside calls01
1211Fouls made1113

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ItalyPer gameBelgium
2.4Goals for / game2.7
1.0Goals against / game1.0
57%Ball possession51%
18.7Shots per game17.3
7.1Corners per game4.9
1.55Expected goals1.85

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ItalyRateBelgium
80%Wins60%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Italy DWWWD
D 2 Oct France Italy 1 1 1.52 6.60
W 28 Sept Turkiye Italy 1 4 2.95 2.50
W 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
W 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
D 31 Mar Bosnia H Italy 1 1 9.00 1.52
W 26 Mar Italy N. Ireland 2 0 1.28 16.00
L 16 Nov Italy Norway 1 4 2.27 3.40
W 13 Nov Moldova Italy 0 2 25.00 1.10
W 14 Oct Italy Israel 3 0 1.19 14.50
W 11 Oct Estonia Italy 1 3 29.00 1.08
Belgium WLLWW
W 2 Oct Belgium Turkiye 3 0 1.52 6.30
L 28 Sept Belgium France 0 1 3.45 2.20
L 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 7 Jul USA Belgium 1 4 2.65 2.95
W 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 27 Jun New Zealand Belgium 1 5 14.00 1.22
D 21 Jun Belgium Iran 0 0 1.47 8.50
D 15 Jun Belgium Egypt 1 1 1.60 6.60
W 6 Jun Belgium Tunisia 5 0 1.39 9.50
W 2 Jun Croatia Belgium 0 2 2.77 2.70

Past meetings

Italy
1·1·0
Belgium
  • Nov 2024 Belgium 0 - 1 Italy
  • Oct 2024 Italy 2 - 2 Belgium
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