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Instituto vs San Lorenzo prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

1 1.95
X 3.20
2 5.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.47 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Instituto 37%@1.95
Draw 22%@3.20
San Lorenzo 41%@5.00
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@11.89
Under 2.5 89%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 12%@2.43
No 88%@1.56
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 55%@2.44
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

InstitutoModelSan Lorenzo
1.88xG0.68
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots10
7Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made10
InstitutoRealSan Lorenzo
1.59xG0.28
49%Ball possession51%
19Shots5
3Shots on goal1
11Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards5
0Offside calls1
7Fouls made11
InstitutoReal · ModelSan Lorenzo
1.591.88xG0.280.68
49%46%Ball possession51%54%
1914Shots510
37Shots on goal14
115Corner kicks13
22Yellow cards52
02Offside calls11
712Fouls made1110

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

InstitutoPer gameSan Lorenzo
1.1Goals for / game0.7
0.5Goals against / game1.0
47%Ball possession55%
13.5Shots per game13.4
5.1Corners per game4.5
1.61Expected goals0.95

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

InstitutoRateSan Lorenzo
60%Wins20%
50%Over 1.540%
20%Over 2.520%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Instituto WWWLD
W 2 Oct Independiente Instituto 1 4 2.57 3.30
W 20 Sept Instituto Talleres 3 1 2.00 4.80
W 15 Sept Instituto Estudiant 2 1 1.47 10.50
L 8 Sept Union S Instituto 3 2 3.10 2.65
D 28 Aug Platense Instituto 1 1 3.30 2.40
D 22 Aug Atl. Tucuman Instituto 0 0 2.82 2.88
W 17 Aug Central C Instituto 0 1 3.85 2.20
W 9 Aug Instituto Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.59 6.80
W 3 Aug Lanus Instituto 0 1 2.15 4.00
W 30 Jul Instituto Platense 2 1 2.05 4.55
San Lorenzo LLDWD
L 3 Oct Defensa J San Lorenzo 3 0 2.07 4.10
L 20 Sept San Lorenzo Boca Juniors 0 2 4.90 1.95
D 13 Sept Independiente San Lorenzo 1 1 2.12 4.25
W 5 Sept San Lorenzo Talleres 1 0 2.40 3.35
D 22 Aug Estudiant San Lorenzo 0 0 3.55 2.47
W 15 Aug San Lorenzo Union S 1 0 2.95 2.85
L 9 Aug San Lorenzo Huracan 0 2 2.80 3.05
L 4 Aug Central C San Lorenzo 1 0 3.15 2.62
W 28 Jul San Lorenzo Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.92 4.50
L 26 Jul Lanus San Lorenzo 1 0 2.07 4.90

Past meetings

Instituto
1·1·2
San Lorenzo
  • Feb 2026 San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Instituto
  • Aug 2025 San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Instituto
  • Feb 2025 Instituto 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
  • Oct 2024 Instituto 2 - 0 San Lorenzo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11