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Independiente vs San Lorenzo prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Independiente €31.92m
Full time 1 : 1
San Lorenzo €38.30m
1 2.12
X 3.05
2 4.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.47 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Independiente 58%@2.12
Draw 24%@3.05
San Lorenzo 18%@4.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 12%@10.78
Under 2.5 88%@1.47
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 30%@2.30
No 70%@1.62
Bet Builder
1X & Under 3.5 83%@1.59
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

IndependienteModelSan Lorenzo
1.12xG0.64
51%Ball possession49%
14Shots10
6Shots on goal4
8Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
10Fouls made10
IndependienteRealSan Lorenzo
1.17xG0.42
66%Ball possession34%
23Shots8
5Shots on goal3
8Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
7Offside calls0
12Fouls made17
IndependienteReal · ModelSan Lorenzo
1.171.12xG0.420.64
66%51%Ball possession34%49%
2314Shots810
56Shots on goal34
88Corner kicks63
22Yellow cards32
72Offside calls01
1210Fouls made1710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

IndependientePer gameSan Lorenzo
0.9Goals for / game0.4
1.0Goals against / game0.7
54%Ball possession57%
13.5Shots per game13.9
7.0Corners per game4.5
1.03Expected goals0.98

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

IndependienteRateSan Lorenzo
50%Wins30%
50%Over 1.520%
30%Over 2.50%
10%BTTS10%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Independiente LWWLD
L 2 Oct Independiente Instituto 1 4 2.57 3.30
W 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
L 30 Aug Independiente Gimnasia M. 0 3 1.93 5.10
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75
San Lorenzo LLWLD
L 3 Oct Defensa J San Lorenzo 3 0 2.07 4.10
L 20 Sept San Lorenzo Boca Juniors 0 2 4.90 1.95
W 5 Sept San Lorenzo Talleres 1 0 2.40 3.35
L 1 Sept Instituto San Lorenzo 1 0 1.95 5.00
D 22 Aug Estudiant San Lorenzo 0 0 3.55 2.47
W 15 Aug San Lorenzo Union S 1 0 2.95 2.85
L 9 Aug San Lorenzo Huracan 0 2 2.80 3.05
L 4 Aug Central C San Lorenzo 1 0 3.15 2.62
W 28 Jul San Lorenzo Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.92 4.50
L 26 Jul Lanus San Lorenzo 1 0 2.07 4.90

Past meetings

Independiente
2·2·0
San Lorenzo
  • May 2026 San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
  • Sept 2025 Independiente 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
  • Mar 2025 San Lorenzo 1 - 2 Independiente
  • Aug 2024 Independiente 0 - 0 San Lorenzo

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11
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