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Independiente vs Instituto prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

1 2.57
X 3.00
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
87%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.38 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Independiente 67%@2.57
Draw 17%@3.00
Instituto 16%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 17%@7.32
Under 2.5 83%@1.50
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 42%@2.20
No 58%@1.70
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 75%@1.51
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

IndependienteModelInstituto
1.15xG1.04
54%Ball possession46%
15Shots12
5Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls1
11Fouls made11
IndependienteRealInstituto
0.44xG1.56
47%Ball possession53%
8Shots13
2Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks7
4Yellow cards3
0Offside calls4
13Fouls made9
IndependienteReal · ModelInstituto
0.441.15xG1.561.04
47%54%Ball possession53%46%
815Shots1312
25Shots on goal64
36Corner kicks75
42Yellow cards32
03Offside calls41
1311Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

IndependientePer gameInstituto
0.8Goals for / game1.4
1.2Goals against / game0.7
55%Ball possession48%
13.9Shots per game13.7
6.9Corners per game5.3
0.97Expected goals1.29

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

IndependienteRateInstituto
40%Wins70%
50%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Independiente WDWLD
W 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
D 13 Sept Independiente San Lorenzo 1 1 2.12 4.25
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
L 30 Aug Independiente Gimnasia M. 0 3 1.93 5.10
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75
Instituto WWLWD
W 20 Sept Instituto Talleres 3 1 2.00 4.80
W 15 Sept Instituto Estudiant 2 1 1.47 10.50
L 8 Sept Union S Instituto 3 2 3.10 2.65
W 1 Sept Instituto San Lorenzo 1 0 1.95 5.00
D 28 Aug Platense Instituto 1 1 3.30 2.40
D 22 Aug Atl. Tucuman Instituto 0 0 2.82 2.88
W 17 Aug Central C Instituto 0 1 3.85 2.20
W 9 Aug Instituto Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.59 6.80
W 3 Aug Lanus Instituto 0 1 2.15 4.00
W 30 Jul Instituto Platense 2 1 2.05 4.55

Past meetings

Independiente
1·1·2
Instituto
  • Mar 2026 Instituto 2 - 1 Independiente
  • Aug 2025 Instituto 0 - 0 Independiente
  • Feb 2025 Independiente 2 - 0 Instituto
  • Jul 2024 Instituto 3 - 1 Independiente

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11