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Independiente vs Gimnasia M. prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Independiente €39.88m
Full time 0 : 3
Gimnasia M. €16.00m
1 1.93
X 3.40
2 5.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.23 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Independiente 27%@1.93
Draw 16%@3.40
Gimnasia M. 57%@5.10
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@4.92
Under 3.5 80%@1.23
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@2.15
No 41%@1.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.34
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

IndependienteModelGimnasia M.
1.03xG1.14
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots12
5Shots on goal5
9Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made15
IndependienteRealGimnasia M.
0.89xG0.65
58%Ball possession42%
11Shots11
4Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
5Offside calls1
7Fouls made15
IndependienteReal · ModelGimnasia M.
0.891.03xG0.651.14
58%53%Ball possession42%47%
1115Shots1112
45Shots on goal45
79Corner kicks44
12Yellow cards13
51Offside calls11
712Fouls made1515

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

IndependientePer gameGimnasia M.
1.1Goals for / game1.3
1.1Goals against / game1.1
52%Ball possession48%
12.8Shots per game13.4
6.7Corners per game4.2
1.07Expected goals1.30

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

IndependienteRateGimnasia M.
50%Wins60%
60%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Independiente LWDWD
L 2 Oct Independiente Instituto 1 4 2.57 3.30
W 19 Sept Union S Independiente 1 2 2.52 3.10
D 13 Sept Independiente San Lorenzo 1 1 2.12 4.25
W 6 Sept Central C Independiente 0 1 3.10 2.70
D 22 Aug Independiente Ind. Rivadavia 0 0 2.52 3.55
W 17 Aug Lanus Independiente 1 3 2.08 4.25
L 12 Aug Atl. Tucuman Independiente 4 0 3.90 2.25
L 9 Aug Independiente Platense 0 1 1.85 5.60
L 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 31 Jul Independiente Newells 1 0 1.66 6.75
Gimnasia M. DLDWW
D 19 Sept Gimnasia M. Dep. Riestra 0 0 2.37 3.60
L 11 Sept Defensa J Gimnasia M. 2 0 2.05 3.70
D 5 Sept Gimnasia M. Boca Juniors 2 2 3.25 2.47
W 22 Aug Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia M. 2 3 1.88 5.20
W 18 Aug Gimnasia M. Talleres 3 1 3.15 2.63
L 9 Aug Instituto Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.59 6.80
W 1 Aug Gimnasia M. Union S 2 0 3.20 2.52
L 28 Jul San Lorenzo Gimnasia M. 1 0 1.92 4.50
W 24 Jul Gimnasia M. Central C 1 0 2.00 4.80
W 4 May Gimnasia M. Defensa J 2 1 2.32 3.55

Past meetings

Independiente
1·1·0
Gimnasia M.
  • Feb 2026 Gimnasia M. 1 - 1 Independiente
  • Jun 2025 Gimnasia M. 1 - 2 Independiente

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11
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