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Iceland vs Bulgaria prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Iceland €95.30m
Full time 3 : 0
Bulgaria €39.00m
1 1.60
X 4.25
2 6.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Iceland win 1 Odds @1.60 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Iceland 88%@1.60
Draw 7%@4.25
Bulgaria 5%@6.75
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.32
Under 1.5 25%@3.96
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 41%@2.05
No 59%@1.75
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 69%@1.34
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

IcelandModelBulgaria
1.45xG0.86
53%Ball possession47%
11Shots8
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
13Fouls made11
IcelandRealBulgaria
2.98xG1.12
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots10
6Shots on goal3
9Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made14
IcelandReal · ModelBulgaria
2.981.45xG1.120.86
51%53%Ball possession49%47%
1011Shots108
64Shots on goal33
94Corner kicks14
22Yellow cards42
12Offside calls11
1113Fouls made1411

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

IcelandPer gameBulgaria
1.1Goals for / game1.7
1.6Goals against / game2.0
47%Ball possession39%
8.8Shots per game8.6
2.8Corners per game3.3
1.21Expected goals0.70

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

IcelandRateBulgaria
20%Wins30%
90%Over 1.570%
50%Over 2.560%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Iceland WDLLD
W 29 Sept Luxembourg Iceland 0 3 3.50 2.35
D 26 Sept Iceland Estonia 1 1 1.31 12.00
L 10 Jun Argentina Iceland 3 0 1.23 18.50
L 31 May Japan Iceland 1 0 1.20 16.00
D 31 Mar Haiti Iceland 1 1 3.60 2.20
D 28 Mar Canada Iceland 2 2 1.58 6.75
L 26 Feb Mexico Iceland 4 0 1.28 10.50
L 16 Nov Ukraine Iceland 2 0 1.98 4.50
W 13 Nov Azerbaijan Iceland 0 2 6.00 1.53
D 13 Oct Iceland France 2 2 11.50 1.23
Bulgaria DLDLW
D 29 Sept Bulgaria Estonia 0 0 1.90 5.10
L 26 Sept Bulgaria Luxembourg 1 2 2.50 3.65
D 5 Jun Moldova Bulgaria 2 2 3.40 2.40
L 1 Jun Bulgaria Montenegro 0 1 2.95 2.72
W 30 Mar Indonesia Bulgaria 0 1 2.60 2.75
W 27 Mar Solomon Islands Bulgaria 2 10 41.00 1.05
W 18 Nov Bulgaria Georgia 2 1 4.65 1.85
L 15 Nov Türkiye Bulgaria 2 0 1.11 20.00
L 14 Oct Spain Bulgaria 4 0 1.01 67.00
L 11 Oct Bulgaria Turkiye 1 6 12.50 1.25

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day