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Helmond vs Heracles prediction — Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond €4.45m
Full time 2 : 2
Heracles €7.10m
1 6.25
X 4.75
2 1.47

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
59%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @2.75 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Helmond 25%@6.25
Draw 34%@4.75
Heracles 41%@1.47
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 89%@1.42
Under 2.5 11%@11.49
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 68%@1.57
No 32%@2.32

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

HelmondModelHeracles
1.28xG2.21
44%Ball possession56%
9Shots23
4Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made13
HelmondRealHeracles
1.55xG2.07
50%Ball possession50%
13Shots31
6Shots on goal14
2Corner kicks12
5Yellow cards4
0Offside calls0
18Fouls made5
HelmondReal · ModelHeracles
1.551.28xG2.072.21
50%44%Ball possession50%56%
139Shots3123
64Shots on goal146
24Corner kicks127
52Yellow cards42
01Offside calls01
1813Fouls made513

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

HelmondPer gameHeracles
1.4Goals for / game2.9
1.5Goals against / game1.4
43%Ball possession55%
10.0Shots per game21.4
3.4Corners per game7.6
1.30Expected goals2.53

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

HelmondRateHeracles
40%Wins80%
80%Over 1.590%
50%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Helmond LLWWL
L 26 Sept MVV Helmond 2 0 2.17 3.30
L 18 Sept Den Bosch Helmond 2 1 1.80 3.85
W 11 Sept Helmond Jong PSV 3 1 2.72 2.35
W 4 Sept Helmond Venlo 4 2 2.65 2.55
L 28 Aug Jong Ajax Helmond 3 2 2.10 3.10
W 21 Aug Helmond Waalwijk 1 0 3.90 1.98
L 14 Aug Roda Helmond 2 1 1.72 4.65
D 9 Aug Helmond De Graafschap 1 1 3.40 2.15
W 1 Aug Helmond St. Truiden 1 0 5.50 1.56
L 12 Jul Helmond Westerlo 0 2 – –
Heracles WLWWW
W 26 Sept Heracles Vitesse 2 0 1.48 5.80
L 18 Sept Almere City Heracles 1 0 3.15 2.05
W 11 Sept Heracles Jong AZ 3 2 1.29 7.60
W 4 Sept Heracles De Graafschap 5 0 1.48 5.50
W 30 Aug FC Eindhoven Heracles 1 3 4.60 1.65
W 24 Aug Jong Utrecht Heracles 1 6 5.60 1.54
W 14 Aug Heracles Den Bosch 3 2 1.55 5.10
W 7 Aug Venlo Heracles 3 4 3.00 2.20
D 1 Aug Heracles Volos 0 0 – –
L 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 +16 23
2 Almere City 10 +12 20
3 Venlo 11 +9 20
4 MVV 10 -6 17
5 Jong AZ 11 +7 16
6 Vitesse 11 +2 16
7 Roda 10 +2 16
8 NAC Breda 11 0 16
9 Emmen 10 -1 15
10 Waalwijk 10 +6 14
11 FC Volendam 10 +3 13
12 Helmond 11 0 13
13 Jong PSV 10 -2 13
14 FC Eindhoven 11 -3 13
15 Oss 11 -2 11
16 Den Bosch 11 -6 10
17 Jong Ajax 10 -9 9
18 Dordrecht 10 -11 9
19 De Graafschap 10 -11 9
20 Jong Utrecht 10 -6 8
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