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Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen €53.65m
Full time 2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar €132.80m
1 3.90
X 4.25
2 1.90

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Heerenveen 15%@3.90
Draw 14%@4.25
AZ Alkmaar 71%@1.90
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.44
Under 2.5 29%@3.53
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.45
No 41%@2.80
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 70%@1.40
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

HeerenveenModelAZ Alkmaar
0.91xG2.79
48%Ball possession52%
11Shots22
6Shots on goal12
4Corner kicks9
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
8Fouls made11
HeerenveenRealAZ Alkmaar
1.61xG1.51
45%Ball possession55%
14Shots15
5Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks3
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls4
9Fouls made12
HeerenveenReal · ModelAZ Alkmaar
1.610.91xG1.512.79
45%48%Ball possession55%52%
1411Shots1522
56Shots on goal812
44Corner kicks39
11Yellow cards21
11Offside calls41
98Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

HeerenveenPer gameAZ Alkmaar
2.4Goals for / game2.7
1.9Goals against / game0.8
55%Ball possession59%
13.5Shots per game20.8
5.7Corners per game8.8
1.13Expected goals2.93

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

HeerenveenRateAZ Alkmaar
40%Wins80%
80%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Heerenveen WDDLD
W 19 Sept S. Rotterdam Heerenveen 0 4 2.47 2.65
D 13 Sept Heerenveen Telstar 0 0 1.65 5.00
D 30 Aug Willem II Heerenveen 2 2 4.20 1.82
L 22 Aug Heerenveen Zwolle 0 2 1.55 5.90
D 16 Aug Ajax Heerenveen 2 2 1.50 6.30
W 9 Aug Heerenveen Twente 1 0 3.25 2.10
D 1 Aug Heerenveen Wolves 0 0 – –
W 1 Aug Heerenveen Volos 3 2 – –
D 25 Jul Heerenveen Leuven 4 4 – –
W 17 Jul Club Brugge KV Heerenveen 2 3 1.50 5.20
AZ Alkmaar WLDWW
W 20 Sept AZ Alkmaar Telstar 1 0 1.31 10.00
L 16 Sept Sunderland(Eng) AZ Alkmaar(Ned) 1 0 1.55 6.50
D 11 Sept AZ Alkmaar Willem II 1 1 1.19 17.00
W 29 Aug AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles 5 2 1.37 8.50
W 22 Aug Sittard (Ned) AZ Alkmaar 0 2 5.40 1.61
W 15 Aug Utrecht AZ Alkmaar 1 4 2.95 2.38
W 8 Aug AZ Alkmaar Den Haag 2 0 1.40 7.90
W 2 Aug PSV AZ Alkmaar 0 4 1.67 5.25
W 25 Jul AZ Alkmaar Olympiakos 3 2 2.02 3.45
W 22 Jul AZ Alkmaar Genk 4 0 2.00 3.30

Past meetings

Heerenveen
2·1·3
AZ Alkmaar
  • Apr 2026 AZ Alkmaar 3 - 0 Heerenveen
  • Nov 2025 Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
  • May 2025 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Heerenveen
  • Mar 2025 Heerenveen 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
  • Sept 2024 AZ Alkmaar 9 - 1 Heerenveen
  • Jan 2024 Heerenveen 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day