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Hartford vs Louisville City prediction — USL League One Cup

USL League One Cup · USA
Hartford €3.53m
Full time 0 : 1
Louisville City €4.65m
1 2.52
X 3.15
2 2.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @2.12 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Hartford 29%@2.52
Draw 43%@3.15
Louisville City 28%@2.57
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 75%@2.12
Under 2.5 25%@6.36
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 71%@1.87
No 29%@1.83
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.82
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 2:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Hartford ModelLouisville City
1.74xG1.07
46%Ball possession54%
12Shots12
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
3Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
Hartford RealLouisville City
1.30xG0.31
57%Ball possession43%
15Shots5
1Shots on goal3
7Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards4
2Offside calls2
7Fouls made9
Hartford Real · ModelLouisville City
1.301.74xG0.311.07
57%46%Ball possession43%54%
1512Shots512
15Shots on goal34
75Corner kicks35
02Yellow cards42
23Offside calls22
714Fouls made912

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Hartford Per gameLouisville City
2.2Goals for / game1.1
1.2Goals against / game1.1
42%Ball possession47%
12.9Shots per game11.3
4.7Corners per game5.1
2.04Expected goals0.95

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Hartford RateLouisville City
70%Wins20%
100%Over 1.570%
70%Over 2.550%
90%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Hartford DDWWW
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
D 20 Sept Las V Hartford 1 1 2.07 3.25
W 16 Sept Hartford Sporting JAX 2 0 1.53 6.00
W 13 Sept Hartford Tampa Bay 3 1 3.55 2.02
W 9 Sept Hartford Colorado 2 1 2.23 2.92
D 6 Sept Detroit Hartford 1 1 1.92 4.25
W 3 Sept Charleston Hartford 1 2 1.60 5.40
W 30 Aug Hartford Birmingham 3 2 2.02 3.30
W 16 Aug Hartford Miami FC 2 1 1.80 3.90
W 13 Aug Charlotte Hartford 2 4 2.72 2.28
Louisville City DWLDD
D 26 Sept Hartford Louisville City 2 2 2.63 2.45
W 20 Sept Louisville City Loudoun 2 1 1.44 6.00
L 13 Sept Louisville City El Paso 1 2 1.80 4.35
D 9 Sept San Antonio Louisville City 0 0 3.05 2.30
D 6 Sept Rhode Island Louisville City 1 1 2.35 2.85
D 30 Aug Louisville City Detroit 0 0 1.80 4.20
L 23 Aug Indy Eleven Louisville City 2 1 3.15 2.07
W 16 Aug Orange C Louisville City 2 3 3.55 2.05
D 13 Aug Tampa Bay Louisville City 0 0 2.63 2.67
D 9 Aug Louisville City San Antonio 1 1 1.50 5.75

Past meetings

Hartford
1·2·3
Louisville City
  • Sept 2026 Hartford 2 - 2 Louisville City
  • Jul 2026 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • Oct 2025 Louisville City 1 - 0 Hartford
  • May 2025 Hartford 1 - 1 Louisville City
  • Aug 2024 Hartford 2 - 1 Louisville City
  • Apr 2024 Louisville City 6 - 0 Hartford
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