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Gubbio vs Perugia prediction — Serie C - Girone B

1 3.10
X 3.15
2 2.25

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
74%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.62 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Gubbio 52%@3.10
Draw 20%@3.15
Perugia 28%@2.25
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 27%@4.43
Under 2.5 73%@1.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.87
No 56%@1.83
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 63%@1.80
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GubbioModelPerugia
0.92xG0.86
50%Ball possession50%
9Shots12
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
GubbioRealPerugia
0.34xG1.44
42%Ball possession58%
7Shots11
2Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards1
2Offside calls3
12Fouls made12
GubbioReal · ModelPerugia
0.340.92xG1.440.86
42%50%Ball possession58%50%
79Shots1112
24Shots on goal44
54Corner kicks36
32Yellow cards12
22Offside calls32
1214Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GubbioPer gamePerugia
1.8Goals for / game0.8
1.4Goals against / game1.5
45%Ball possession49%
8.6Shots per game11.9
3.6Corners per game6.8
0.86Expected goals0.80

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GubbioRatePerugia
50%Wins30%
100%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Gubbio LLDWW
L 27 Sept Ravenna Gubbio 2 0 1.38 7.00
L 20 Sept Gubbio Ostia Mare 0 2 2.35 3.15
D 16 Sept Pescara Gubbio 1 1 1.59 5.00
W 12 Sept Gubbio Latina 3 1 2.85 2.32
W 5 Sept Campobasso Gubbio 2 4 1.82 4.40
W 2 Sept Gubbio Vis Pesaro 5 0 2.32 3.00
L 30 Aug Gubbio Reggiana 1 2 2.77 2.52
L 22 Aug Guidonia Gubbio 3 0 2.22 3.35
W 14 Aug Pineto Gubbio 1 2 2.28 3.40
W 29 Jul Gubbio Trestina 2 0 1.49 6.30
Perugia WLLLW
W 27 Sept Perugia Reggiana 1 0 3.20 2.17
L 20 Sept Grosseto Perugia 2 0 2.80 2.55
L 16 Sept Perugia Spezia 0 3 2.80 2.82
L 13 Sept Ravenna Perugia 3 0 2.05 3.45
W 6 Sept Perugia Pineto 2 1 1.80 4.45
D 30 Aug Vis Pesaro Perugia 2 2 2.65 2.65
W 23 Aug Perugia Ostia Mare 1 0 1.87 4.00
L 15 Aug Perugia Vis Pesaro 1 2 2.10 3.85
D 26 Apr Forli Perugia 1 1 3.80 2.20
L 18 Apr Perugia Campobasso 0 1 2.17 3.40

Past meetings

Gubbio
2·1·0
Perugia
  • Jan 2026 Perugia 0 - 1 Gubbio
  • Sept 2025 Gubbio 1 - 1 Perugia
  • Jan 2025 Gubbio 1 - 0 Perugia

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 +11 23
2 Ravenna 9 +9 18
3 Grosseto 10 +7 17
4 Livorno 10 +2 17
5 Reggiana 9 +5 15
6 Perugia 9 -3 14
7 Guidonia 9 +3 13
8 Campobasso 9 +1 13
9 Torres 9 0 13
10 Atalanta II 9 -2 12
11 Forli 9 +1 11
12 Pescara 9 -2 10
13 Ostia Mare 9 -1 9
14 Vado 9 -2 9
15 Latina 9 -3 8
16 Pineto 9 -5 8
17 Gubbio 9 -6 8
18 Pianese 9 -4 7
19 Sambenedettese 9 -3 6
20 Vis Pesaro 9 -8 6