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Gremio vs Vasco prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Gremio €79.95m
Full time 1 : 2
Vasco €119.85m
1 3.50
X 3.30
2 2.17

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Gremio 22%@3.50
Draw 43%@3.30
Vasco 35%@2.17
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 20%@5.16
Under 3.5 80%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.82
No 45%@1.93
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.52
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GremioModelVasco
0.94xG1.39
51%Ball possession49%
13Shots14
6Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
13Fouls made14
GremioRealVasco
0.68xG1.52
51%Ball possession49%
13Shots17
5Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards3
0Offside calls1
10Fouls made14
GremioReal · ModelVasco
0.680.94xG1.521.39
51%51%Ball possession49%49%
1313Shots1714
56Shots on goal56
34Corner kicks54
33Yellow cards33
01Offside calls11
1013Fouls made1414

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GremioPer gameVasco
1.0Goals for / game1.1
1.0Goals against / game1.0
49%Ball possession48%
13.2Shots per game15.8
4.4Corners per game5.3
0.96Expected goals1.58

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GremioRateVasco
40%Wins40%
50%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Gremio DLLWW
D 20 Sept Gremio Palmeiras 0 0 4.20 1.98
L 16 Sept Botafogo Gremio 3 2 1.76 4.75
L 8 Sept Vitoria Gremio 1 0 2.25 3.50
W 4 Sept Gremio Internacional 3 1 2.90 2.67
W 30 Aug Gremio Chapecoense-sc 3 1 1.60 6.40
D 28 Aug Internacional Gremio 0 0 1.84 5.00
L 23 Aug Bragantino Gremio 1 0 1.60 6.00
L 16 Aug Atletico-MG Gremio 3 0 1.80 5.20
W 8 Aug Gremio Sao Paulo 2 1 2.37 3.35
W 5 Aug Gremio Mirassol 1 0 2.15 4.00
Vasco WWDLW
W 20 Sept Vasco Coritiba 5 0 1.42 9.00
W 15 Sept Vasco(Bra) Santa Fe(Col) 2 0 1.45 9.00
D 8 Sept Santa Fe(Col) Vasco(Bra) 0 0 2.32 4.00
L 6 Sept Fluminense Vasco 1 0 2.52 3.25
W 3 Sept Vitoria Vasco 0 2 2.72 2.70
W 30 Aug Vasco Cruzeiro 3 1 2.05 3.90
W 27 Aug Vasco Vitoria 1 0 1.67 6.30
L 23 Aug Palmeiras Vasco 4 1 1.67 5.70
W 20 Aug Olimpia(Par) Vasco(Bra) 1 4 2.85 2.85
L 16 Aug Vasco Santos 0 3 1.97 4.00

Past meetings

Gremio
2·1·2
Vasco
  • Mar 2026 Vasco 2 - 1 Gremio
  • Nov 2025 Gremio 2 - 0 Vasco
  • Jul 2025 Vasco 1 - 1 Gremio
  • Jul 2024 Gremio 1 - 0 Vasco
  • Apr 2024 Vasco 2 - 1 Gremio

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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