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Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
Gremio €79.95m
Full time 0 : 0
Palmeiras €209.48m
1 4.20
X 3.65
2 1.98

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Gremio 21%@4.20
Draw 25%@3.65
Palmeiras 54%@1.98
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 29%@3.28
Under 3.5 71%@1.34
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 36%@1.80
No 64%@2.02
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 64%@1.48
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GremioModelPalmeiras
0.91xG1.67
51%Ball possession49%
10Shots17
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made13
GremioRealPalmeiras
0.97xG2.39
28%Ball possession72%
7Shots31
4Shots on goal10
2Corner kicks9
5Yellow cards5
1Offside calls1
19Fouls made14
GremioReal · ModelPalmeiras
0.970.91xG2.391.67
28%51%Ball possession72%49%
710Shots3117
44Shots on goal105
24Corner kicks96
53Yellow cards52
11Offside calls11
1912Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GremioPer gamePalmeiras
1.2Goals for / game1.6
1.3Goals against / game0.8
50%Ball possession49%
11.5Shots per game15.8
3.7Corners per game6.1
0.78Expected goals1.87

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GremioRatePalmeiras
40%Wins50%
60%Over 1.560%
60%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Gremio LLLWW
L 16 Sept Botafogo Gremio 3 2 1.76 4.75
L 12 Sept Gremio Vasco 1 2 3.50 2.17
L 8 Sept Vitoria Gremio 1 0 2.25 3.50
W 4 Sept Gremio Internacional 3 1 2.90 2.67
W 30 Aug Gremio Chapecoense-sc 3 1 1.60 6.40
D 28 Aug Internacional Gremio 0 0 1.84 5.00
L 23 Aug Bragantino Gremio 1 0 1.60 6.00
L 16 Aug Atletico-MG Gremio 3 0 1.80 5.20
W 8 Aug Gremio Sao Paulo 2 1 2.37 3.35
W 5 Aug Gremio Mirassol 1 0 2.15 4.00
Palmeiras LWWDD
L 16 Sept LDU Quito(Ecu) Palmeiras(Bra) 3 2 2.65 3.10
W 12 Sept Palmeiras Sao Paulo 2 0 1.52 7.70
W 9 Sept Palmeiras(Bra) LDU Quito(Ecu) 1 0 1.42 11.25
D 6 Sept Botafogo Palmeiras 0 0 3.40 2.15
D 3 Sept Santos Palmeiras 0 0 2.55 2.85
D 30 Aug Mirassol Palmeiras 1 1 3.55 2.18
W 27 Aug Palmeiras Santos 3 0 1.53 7.90
W 23 Aug Palmeiras Vasco 4 1 1.67 5.70
W 19 Aug Cerro Porteno(Par) Palmeiras(Bra) 0 1 4.90 1.91
L 15 Aug Fluminense Palmeiras 3 2 3.00 2.55

Past meetings

Gremio
1·1·3
Palmeiras
  • Apr 2026 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Gremio
  • Nov 2025 Gremio 3 - 2 Palmeiras
  • Jul 2025 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio
  • Nov 2024 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Gremio
  • Jul 2024 Gremio 2 - 2 Palmeiras

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17
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