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Grau vs FBC Melgar prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Grau €5.18m
Full time 1 : 0
FBC Melgar €9.94m
1 2.70
X 3.10
2 2.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
83%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.62 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Grau 31%@2.70
Draw 27%@3.10
FBC Melgar 42%@2.80
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 17%@7.91
Under 2.5 83%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.88
No 56%@1.85
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.70
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GrauModelFBC Melgar
0.87xG1.52
44%Ball possession56%
11Shots15
5Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
GrauRealFBC Melgar
0.29xG2.10
40%Ball possession60%
8Shots22
2Shots on goal9
0Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards1
0Offside calls2
12Fouls made5
GrauReal · ModelFBC Melgar
0.290.87xG2.101.52
40%44%Ball possession60%56%
811Shots2215
25Shots on goal96
04Corner kicks45
12Yellow cards12
02Offside calls22
1213Fouls made510

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GrauPer gameFBC Melgar
1.2Goals for / game1.4
1.1Goals against / game1.1
47%Ball possession62%
11.4Shots per game16.4
3.7Corners per game6.0
0.86Expected goals1.63

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GrauRateFBC Melgar
30%Wins30%
70%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Grau LWLDD
L 19 Sept Sporting Grau 3 1 1.34 8.50
W 13 Sept Grau Alianza Atl. 3 1 2.50 2.93
L 6 Sept Deportivo Grau 4 2 1.57 6.50
D 26 Aug Grau Sport Boys 2 2 2.30 3.15
D 21 Aug FC Cajamarca Grau 1 1 2.20 3.45
W 14 Aug Grau Comercian 1 0 2.33 3.30
D 8 Aug Juan Pablo II Grau 0 0 2.33 3.10
L 1 Aug Grau Sport Boys 0 1 2.37 3.30
L 25 Jul Sport Huancayo Grau 2 0 1.68 5.50
W 18 Jul Grau Cajamarca 3 1 1.77 5.10
FBC Melgar DWWDW
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80

Past meetings

Grau
0·4·1
FBC Melgar
  • Mar 2026 FBC Melgar 0 - 0 Grau
  • Oct 2025 Grau 0 - 0 FBC Melgar
  • May 2025 FBC Melgar 1 - 1 Grau
  • Sept 2024 FBC Melgar 0 - 0 Grau
  • Apr 2024 Grau 1 - 2 FBC Melgar

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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