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Grau vs Comercian prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Grau €5.25m
Full time 1 : 0
Comercian €6.65m
1 2.33
X 3.10
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
70%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.55 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Grau 33%@2.33
Draw 43%@3.10
Comercian 24%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 30%@3.62
Under 2.5 70%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.06
No 54%@1.75
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.76
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GrauModelComercian
0.98xG1.32
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots13
6Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
12Fouls made15
GrauRealComercian
0.88xG0.85
44%Ball possession56%
15Shots10
4Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks0
1Yellow cards4
1Offside calls2
20Fouls made5
GrauReal · ModelComercian
0.880.98xG0.851.32
44%47%Ball possession56%53%
1513Shots1013
46Shots on goal35
54Corner kicks03
12Yellow cards42
12Offside calls21
2012Fouls made515

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GrauPer gameComercian
1.0Goals for / game1.0
0.9Goals against / game1.4
46%Ball possession54%
11.1Shots per game15.5
3.0Corners per game4.0
0.92Expected goals1.47

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GrauRateComercian
40%Wins10%
50%Over 1.570%
20%Over 2.540%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Grau LWLWD
L 19 Sept Sporting Grau 3 1 1.34 8.50
W 13 Sept Grau Alianza Atl. 3 1 2.50 2.93
L 6 Sept Deportivo Grau 4 2 1.57 6.50
W 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 26 Aug Grau Sport Boys 2 2 2.30 3.15
D 21 Aug FC Cajamarca Grau 1 1 2.20 3.45
D 8 Aug Juan Pablo II Grau 0 0 2.33 3.10
L 1 Aug Grau Sport Boys 0 1 2.37 3.30
L 25 Jul Sport Huancayo Grau 2 0 1.68 5.50
W 18 Jul Grau Cajamarca 3 1 1.77 5.10
Comercian LLDLW
L 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
L 12 Sept Comercian Sport Huancayo 0 1 2.10 3.55
D 6 Sept Universitario Comercian 2 2 1.35 9.50
L 28 Aug Comercian FC Cajamarca 2 3 1.63 5.60
W 22 Aug Cajamarca Comercian 1 3 2.16 3.55
W 7 Aug Comercian Cusco 3 1 2.57 2.70
L 31 Jul Los Chankas Comercian 3 2 1.87 4.60
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
D 18 Jul Moquegua Comercian 2 2 2.25 3.50
D 27 Jun Comercian Juan Pablo II 0 0 1.97 3.55

Past meetings

Grau
1·2·2
Comercian
  • Mar 2026 Comercian 3 - 1 Grau
  • Aug 2025 Grau 1 - 2 Comercian
  • Mar 2025 Comercian 2 - 2 Grau
  • Jul 2024 Grau 3 - 0 Comercian
  • Feb 2024 Comercian 2 - 2 Grau

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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