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Grau vs Alianza Atl. prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
Grau €5.22m
Full time 3 : 1
Alianza Atl. €6.28m
1 2.50
X 3.25
2 2.93

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
62%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.53 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Grau 29%@2.50
Draw 23%@3.25
Alianza Atl. 48%@2.93
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 70%@1.35
Under 1.5 30%@3.15
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.79
No 45%@1.98
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.97
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GrauModelAlianza Atl.
0.90xG1.21
49%Ball possession51%
11Shots12
5Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made13
GrauRealAlianza Atl.
2.31xG0.50
56%Ball possession44%
10Shots10
5Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks2
2Yellow cards2
0Offside calls1
19Fouls made8
GrauReal · ModelAlianza Atl.
2.310.90xG0.501.21
56%49%Ball possession44%51%
1011Shots1012
55Shots on goal35
63Corner kicks24
22Yellow cards23
01Offside calls11
1914Fouls made813

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GrauPer gameAlianza Atl.
1.1Goals for / game1.9
1.2Goals against / game1.5
44%Ball possession48%
10.2Shots per game13.4
3.1Corners per game4.3
0.87Expected goals1.39

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GrauRateAlianza Atl.
30%Wins60%
60%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.560%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Grau LLWDD
L 19 Sept Sporting Grau 3 1 1.34 8.50
L 6 Sept Deportivo Grau 4 2 1.57 6.50
W 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 26 Aug Grau Sport Boys 2 2 2.30 3.15
D 21 Aug FC Cajamarca Grau 1 1 2.20 3.45
W 14 Aug Grau Comercian 1 0 2.33 3.30
D 8 Aug Juan Pablo II Grau 0 0 2.33 3.10
L 1 Aug Grau Sport Boys 0 1 2.37 3.30
L 25 Jul Sport Huancayo Grau 2 0 1.68 5.50
W 18 Jul Grau Cajamarca 3 1 1.77 5.10
Alianza Atl. WWWWD
W 27 Sept Sport Boys Alianza Atl. 2 5 3.60 2.25
W 18 Sept Alianza Atl. Comercian 2 1 1.70 5.00
W 4 Sept Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 3 2 1.59 6.10
W 30 Aug Moquegua Alianza Atl. 1 4 2.89 2.75
D 25 Aug Alianza Atl. Cajamarca 1 1 1.71 6.10
W 21 Aug Alianza Atl. Sporting 1 0 3.10 2.43
D 15 Aug ADT Alianza Atl. 1 1 1.88 4.60
W 6 Aug Alianza Atl. Cienciano 1 0 2.18 3.45
L 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
W 24 Jul Alianza Atl. Los Chankas 3 1 1.64 5.20

Past meetings

Grau
0·4·1
Alianza Atl.
  • Apr 2026 Alianza Atl. 2 - 2 Grau
  • Nov 2025 Grau 1 - 1 Alianza Atl.
  • Jun 2025 Alianza Atl. 2 - 1 Grau
  • Jul 2024 Alianza Atl. 0 - 0 Grau
  • Jan 2024 Grau 1 - 1 Alianza Atl.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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