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Gillingham vs Northampton prediction — League Two

League Two · England
Gillingham €3.45m
Full time 1 : 1
Northampton €3.80m
1 3.15
X 3.30
2 2.38

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.29 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Gillingham 27%@3.15
Draw 25%@3.30
Northampton 48%@2.38
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.87
Under 3.5 75%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 59%@1.78
No 41%@1.98
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 59%@1.58
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GillinghamModelNorthampton
0.89xG0.76
50%Ball possession50%
10Shots10
5Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls1
14Fouls made11
GillinghamRealNorthampton
0.85xG0.30
55%Ball possession45%
10Shots5
2Shots on goal1
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards4
3Offside calls2
10Fouls made16
GillinghamReal · ModelNorthampton
0.850.89xG0.300.76
55%50%Ball possession45%50%
1010Shots510
25Shots on goal15
44Corner kicks36
22Yellow cards41
31Offside calls21
1014Fouls made1611

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GillinghamPer gameNorthampton
1.0Goals for / game0.9
1.8Goals against / game1.4
42%Ball possession42%
8.7Shots per game10.4
3.3Corners per game6.2
0.81Expected goals0.76

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GillinghamRateNorthampton
40%Wins20%
60%Over 1.550%
60%Over 2.550%
30%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Gillingham DLLWW
D 3 Oct Gillingham Newport 0 0 1.92 3.80
L 26 Sept York Gillingham 3 0 1.80 4.50
L 22 Sept Gillingham Cambridge Utd 1 4 5.15 1.67
W 19 Sept Gillingham Bristol Rovers 3 0 3.45 2.10
W 12 Sept Gillingham Tranmere 2 0 2.60 2.90
W 5 Sept Rochdale Gillingham 1 4 2.10 3.40
D 1 Sept Chesterfield Gillingham 1 1 1.60 5.60
D 22 Aug Fleetwood Gillingham 0 0 1.92 3.85
L 15 Aug Gillingham Walsall 0 3 2.37 3.00
L 8 Aug Gillingham Luton 0 3 4.90 1.68
Northampton LLWDL
L 19 Sept Northampton Rotherham 0 1 2.65 2.62
L 12 Sept Shrewsbury Northampton 2 0 2.70 2.72
W 5 Sept Northampton Newport 1 0 1.78 4.55
D 1 Sept Northampton Crawley 1 1 1.70 5.00
L 22 Aug Crewe Northampton 1 0 2.20 3.20
L 18 Aug Northampton Brighton U21 0 3 1.60 4.75
D 15 Aug Northampton Swindon 0 0 2.15 3.25
L 8 Aug Leicester Northampton 1 0 1.30 9.50
W 1 Aug Solihull Moors Northampton 2 4 3.85 1.80
D 28 Jul Cambridge Utd Northampton 0 0 1.93 3.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Barnet 9 +7 17
2 Salford 10 +3 17
3 York 10 +6 16
4 Walsall 10 +6 16
5 Crewe 10 +4 16
6 Cheltenham 10 +2 16
7 Bristol Rovers 10 0 16
8 Chesterfield 10 +3 15
9 Grimsby 10 +3 14
10 Gillingham 10 +2 14
11 Rochdale 10 -1 14
12 Tranmere 10 0 12
13 Oldham 10 -2 12
14 Swindon 10 -4 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 -5 12
16 Newport 10 0 11
17 Accrington 10 -1 11
18 Rotherham 10 -1 11
19 Fleetwood 10 -1 11
20 Exeter 10 -1 10
21 Colchester 10 -4 9
22 Northampton 9 -3 8
23 Port Vale 9 -6 7
24 Crawley 9 -7 6
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