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Germany vs Serbia prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 1.21
X 8.00
2 15.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Germany win 1 Odds @1.21 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Germany 86%@1.21
Draw 9%@8.00
Serbia 5%@15.50
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 26%@5.72
Under 3.5 74%@2.01
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@1.86
No 54%@1.95
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 84%@1.56
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GermanyModelSerbia
2.08xG1.12
59%Ball possession41%
20Shots9
6Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made10
GermanyRealSerbia
3.82xG0.01
74%Ball possession26%
32Shots1
8Shots on goal1
12Corner kicks1
0Yellow cards3
1Offside calls1
10Fouls made11
GermanyReal · ModelSerbia
3.822.08xG0.011.12
74%59%Ball possession26%41%
3220Shots19
86Shots on goal14
127Corner kicks14
02Yellow cards32
11Offside calls12
1012Fouls made1110

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GermanyPer gameSerbia
2.3Goals for / game1.0
1.0Goals against / game2.1
56%Ball possession48%
16.8Shots per game12.2
7.2Corners per game5.4
2.09Expected goals1.45

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GermanyRateSerbia
60%Wins30%
80%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
70%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Germany DLDDD
D 4 Oct Greece Germany 0 0 4.20 1.90
L 27 Sept Germany Greece 0 1 1.51 7.00
D 24 Sept Netherlands Germany 1 1 2.70 2.55
D 29 Jun Germany Paraguay 1 1 1.38 10.50
D 25 Jun Ecuador Germany 0 0 5.35 1.65
W 20 Jun Germany Ivory Coast 2 1 1.52 7.50
W 14 Jun Germany Curacao 7 1 1.05 60.00
W 6 Jun USA Germany 1 2 4.60 1.76
W 31 May Germany Finland 4 0 1.13 22.00
W 30 Mar Germany Ghana 2 1 1.17 17.00
Serbia LLLLL
L 4 Oct Netherlands Serbia 2 1 1.21 14.50
L 27 Sept Serbia Netherlands 1 2 7.00 1.50
L 24 Sept Serbia Greece 1 2 3.20 2.45
L 5 Jun Mexico Serbia 5 1 1.36 10.00
L 31 May Cape Verde Serbia 3 0 3.40 2.28
W 31 Mar Serbia Saudi Arabia 2 1 1.50 8.40
L 27 Mar Spain Serbia 3 0 1.20 18.50
D 26 Mar Qatar Serbia 0 0 – –
W 16 Nov Serbia Latvia 2 1 1.25 21.00
L 13 Nov England Serbia 2 0 1.28 11.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.