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Georgia vs Ukraine prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 2.32
X 3.30
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.28 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Georgia 34%@2.32
Draw 43%@3.30
Ukraine 23%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 25%@3.84
Under 3.5 75%@1.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.84
No 40%@1.93
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@1.87
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GeorgiaModelUkraine
1.27xG1.11
53%Ball possession47%
12Shots8
4Shots on goal4
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls2
13Fouls made13
GeorgiaRealUkraine
0.91xG0.18
49%Ball possession51%
14Shots7
5Shots on goal2
4Corner kicks0
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls0
13Fouls made14
GeorgiaReal · ModelUkraine
0.911.27xG0.181.11
49%53%Ball possession51%47%
1412Shots78
54Shots on goal24
46Corner kicks04
22Yellow cards43
10Offside calls02
1313Fouls made1413

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GeorgiaPer gameUkraine
1.2Goals for / game1.6
1.6Goals against / game1.4
53%Ball possession51%
11.3Shots per game10.4
5.0Corners per game4.2
0.98Expected goals1.25

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GeorgiaRateUkraine
30%Wins60%
90%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Georgia LLWDW
L 2 Oct Hungary Georgia 1 0 2.47 3.15
L 25 Sept Georgia N. Ireland 0 1 1.90 4.80
W 5 Jun Georgia Bahrain 2 0 1.22 15.00
D 2 Jun Georgia Romania 1 1 2.35 3.80
W 29 Mar Lithuania Georgia 0 2 5.30 1.70
D 26 Mar Georgia Israel 2 2 1.93 4.40
L 18 Nov Bulgaria Georgia 2 1 4.65 1.85
L 15 Nov Georgia Spain 0 4 13.00 1.25
L 14 Oct Turkiye Georgia 4 1 1.53 5.90
L 11 Oct Spain Georgia 2 0 1.13 21.00
Ukraine LWLWW
L 2 Oct Ukraine N. Ireland 0 3 2.35 4.15
W 25 Sept Hungary Ukraine 0 1 2.70 2.92
L 7 Jun Denmark Ukraine 2 1 1.85 5.00
W 31 May Poland Ukraine 0 2 2.00 4.30
W 31 Mar Ukraine Albania 1 0 2.25 3.30
L 26 Mar Ukraine Sweden 1 3 3.40 2.35
W 16 Nov Ukraine Iceland 2 0 1.98 4.50
L 13 Nov France Ukraine 4 0 1.20 14.50
W 13 Oct Ukraine Azerbaijan 2 1 1.22 12.50
W 10 Oct Iceland Ukraine 3 5 3.15 2.30

Past meetings

Georgia
0·1·1
Ukraine
  • Nov 2024 Georgia 1 - 1 Ukraine
  • Oct 2024 Ukraine 1 - 0 Georgia