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Genesis vs Marathon prediction — Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional · Honduras
Genesis €1.12m
Full time 1 : 2
Marathon €4.99m
1 3.25
X 3.00
2 2.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
83%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.57 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Genesis 25%@3.25
Draw 43%@3.00
Marathon 32%@2.45
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 23%@5.26
Under 2.5 77%@1.57
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 34%@1.98
No 66%@1.77
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 2.5 55%@2.46
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

GenesisModelMarathon
46%Ball possession54%
10Shots12
5Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
GenesisRealMarathon
54%Ball possession46%
8Shots12
4Shots on goal3
4Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards1
GenesisReal · ModelMarathon
54%46%Ball possession46%54%
810Shots1212
45Shots on goal35
45Corner kicks35
02Yellow cards12

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

GenesisPer gameMarathon
1.6Goals for / game0.9
1.0Goals against / game0.5
46%Ball possession52%
9.1Shots per game11.1
4.0Corners per game4.7

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

GenesisRateMarathon
40%Wins30%
100%Over 1.550%
40%Over 2.510%
60%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Genesis DLWDW
D 19 Sept Genesis Olancho 0 0 2.55 2.67
L 13 Sept Motagua Genesis 1 0 1.60 4.85
W 7 Sept Juticalpa Genesis 0 3 3.10 2.20
D 22 Aug Atletico I Genesis 1 1 2.80 2.23
W 15 Aug Genesis Platense 3 0 2.02 3.65
L 9 Aug Real Espana Genesis 2 0 1.61 5.50
W 1 Aug Genesis Choloma 2 0 1.90 3.60
L 19 May Motagua Genesis 2 1 1.42 7.25
D 15 May Genesis Olancho 1 1 2.15 4.10
W 7 May Olancho Genesis 1 3 – –
Marathon LLWDW
L 21 Sept Juticalpa Marathon 3 2 5.70 1.53
L 18 Sept Alajuelense(Crc) Marathon(Hon) 3 1 2.05 3.70
W 14 Sept Marathon Olimpia 1 0 2.30 3.10
D 11 Sept Marathon(Hon) Alajuelense(Crc) 2 2 2.85 2.60
W 6 Sept Marathon Estrella Roja 5 0 1.65 6.25
W 27 Aug Marathon(Hon) Esteli(Nca) 3 0 1.88 4.45
D 23 Aug Marathon Real Espana 1 1 2.30 3.10
L 20 Aug Marathon(Hon) Alianza(Slv) 0 1 1.67 5.00
W 16 Aug Choloma Marathon 0 1 6.10 1.52
W 14 Aug Antigua(Gua) Marathon(Hon) 0 3 2.10 3.45

Past meetings

Genesis
1·2·3
Marathon
  • Apr 2026 Genesis 0 - 1 Marathon
  • Feb 2026 Marathon 1 - 2 Genesis
  • Oct 2025 Genesis 0 - 3 Marathon
  • Aug 2025 Marathon 1 - 0 Genesis
  • Apr 2025 Marathon 0 - 0 Genesis
  • Feb 2025 Genesis 1 - 1 Marathon

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Real Espana 10 +9 20
2 Olimpia 10 +12 19
3 Marathon 10 +8 19
4 Motagua 9 +3 14
5 Olancho 10 +1 13
6 Genesis 9 +4 12
7 Estrella Roja 9 -3 10
8 Atletico I 9 -4 10
9 UPNFM 9 -5 9
10 Choloma 9 -2 8
11 Juticalpa 9 -11 7
12 Platense 9 -12 6
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