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France vs Spain prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
France €1.27bn
Full time 0 : 2
Spain €989.00m
1 2.67
X 3.10
2 3.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
66%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.40 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
France 23%@2.67
Draw 20%@3.10
Spain 57%@3.20
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 34%@2.72
Under 3.5 66%@1.40
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.65
No 44%@2.32
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.69
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FranceModelSpain
2.19xG1.81
48%Ball possession52%
19Shots15
9Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards1
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made11
FranceRealSpain
0.30xG1.63
49%Ball possession51%
10Shots10
3Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks1
2Yellow cards1
4Offside calls5
11Fouls made12
FranceReal · ModelSpain
0.302.19xG1.631.81
49%48%Ball possession51%52%
1019Shots1015
39Shots on goal27
77Corner kicks16
21Yellow cards11
42Offside calls52
119Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FrancePer gameSpain
2.5Goals for / game1.8
0.7Goals against / game0.3
59%Ball possession66%
17.3Shots per game17.1
6.1Corners per game7.1
1.96Expected goals1.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FranceRateSpain
90%Wins70%
90%Over 1.560%
80%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

France DWWLW
D 2 Oct France Italy 1 1 1.52 6.60
W 28 Sept Belgium France 0 1 3.45 2.20
W 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
L 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
W 9 Jul France Morocco 2 0 1.65 6.50
W 4 Jul Paraguay France 0 1 21.00 1.23
W 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
W 26 Jun Norway France 1 4 7.40 1.45
W 22 Jun France Iraq 3 0 1.10 38.00
W 16 Jun France Senegal 3 1 1.53 7.40
Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 27 Jun Uruguay Spain 0 1 6.20 1.75
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00

Past meetings

France
0·0·2
Spain
  • Jun 2025 Spain 5 - 4 France
  • Jul 2024 Spain 2 - 1 France
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