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France vs Italy prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
France €1.45bn
Full time 1 : 1
Italy €868.50m
1 1.52
X 5.15
2 6.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @2.70 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
France 43%@1.52
Draw 32%@5.15
Italy 25%@6.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.56
Under 2.5 30%@3.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@1.72
No 40%@2.12

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FranceModelItaly
1.80xG1.35
53%Ball possession47%
19Shots14
6Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
11Fouls made13
FranceRealItaly
1.22xG1.45
65%Ball possession35%
18Shots14
8Shots on goal2
6Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards4
1Offside calls3
9Fouls made10
FranceReal · ModelItaly
1.221.80xG1.451.35
65%53%Ball possession35%47%
1819Shots1414
86Shots on goal25
66Corner kicks45
22Yellow cards42
12Offside calls31
911Fouls made1013

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FrancePer gameItaly
2.2Goals for / game1.8
1.0Goals against / game0.9
58%Ball possession55%
16.9Shots per game17.0
6.0Corners per game6.3
1.88Expected goals1.64

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FranceRateItaly
80%Wins70%
70%Over 1.580%
50%Over 2.540%
30%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

France WWLLW
W 28 Sept Belgium France 0 1 3.45 2.20
W 25 Sept Turkiye France 0 1 8.00 1.38
L 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
L 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 9 Jul France Morocco 2 0 1.65 6.50
W 4 Jul Paraguay France 0 1 21.00 1.23
W 30 Jun France Sweden 3 0 1.34 10.25
W 26 Jun Norway France 1 4 7.40 1.45
W 22 Jun France Iraq 3 0 1.10 38.00
W 16 Jun France Senegal 3 1 1.53 7.40
Italy WLWWD
W 28 Sept Turkiye Italy 1 4 2.95 2.50
L 25 Sept Italy Belgium 0 2 2.25 3.35
W 7 Jun Greece Italy 0 1 2.80 2.80
W 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
D 31 Mar Bosnia H Italy 1 1 9.00 1.52
W 26 Mar Italy N. Ireland 2 0 1.28 16.00
L 16 Nov Italy Norway 1 4 2.27 3.40
W 13 Nov Moldova Italy 0 2 25.00 1.10
W 14 Oct Italy Israel 3 0 1.19 14.50
W 11 Oct Estonia Italy 1 3 29.00 1.08

Past meetings

France
1·0·1
Italy
  • Nov 2024 Italy 1 - 3 France
  • Sept 2024 France 1 - 3 Italy
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