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Fortaleza vs Atl. Nacional prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
Fortaleza €6.47m
Full time 1 : 2
Atl. Nacional €25.58m
1 6.40
X 3.80
2 1.67

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
87%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.31 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Fortaleza 16%@6.40
Draw 27%@3.80
Atl. Nacional 57%@1.67
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 13%@8.77
Under 3.5 87%@1.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 22%@1.97
No 78%@1.85
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@2.55
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FortalezaModelAtl. Nacional
0.69xG1.01
47%Ball possession53%
11Shots17
6Shots on goal8
4Corner kicks9
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made13
FortalezaRealAtl. Nacional
0.37xG2.08
34%Ball possession66%
7Shots17
3Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards3
6Offside calls2
14Fouls made12
FortalezaReal · ModelAtl. Nacional
0.370.69xG2.081.01
34%47%Ball possession66%53%
711Shots1717
36Shots on goal58
44Corner kicks79
22Yellow cards32
62Offside calls22
1412Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FortalezaPer gameAtl. Nacional
1.1Goals for / game2.0
0.9Goals against / game0.8
53%Ball possession59%
11.3Shots per game18.0
4.7Corners per game8.2
0.68Expected goals1.14

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FortalezaRateAtl. Nacional
30%Wins70%
60%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Fortaleza DDLDD
D 4 Oct Dep. Pasto Fortaleza 0 0 2.20 3.40
D 28 Sept Fortaleza Deportes 2 2 3.70 2.12
L 20 Sept Fortaleza Junior 1 4 2.40 2.95
D 12 Sept Jaguares Fortaleza 2 2 2.30 3.50
D 6 Sept Santa Fe Fortaleza 2 2 1.78 4.99
L 2 Sept Fortaleza Once Caldas 1 2 3.25 2.25
D 26 Aug Chico Fortaleza 0 0 2.92 2.88
W 8 Aug Fortaleza Cucuta 2 0 1.65 5.90
L 4 Aug Llaneros Fortaleza 3 1 2.15 3.90
D 1 Aug Fortaleza Pereira 0 0 1.52 8.00
Atl. Nacional WDDLW
W 1 Oct Atl. Nacional Junior 3 1 1.45 6.75
D 26 Sept Atl. Nacional(Col) Chapecoense-sc(Bra) 1 1 2.22 2.90
D 25 Sept Atl. Nacional Millonarios 1 1 1.82 4.60
L 21 Sept Llaneros Atl. Nacional 2 0 5.00 1.78
W 17 Sept Inter Bogota Atl. Nacional 2 3 5.80 1.64
W 13 Sept Atl. Nacional Aguilas 2 0 1.37 10.75
W 8 Sept Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 3 0 1.47 7.60
W 30 Aug Alianza Atl. Nacional 1 5 4.10 2.02
W 27 Aug Atl. Nacional Dep. Cali 2 1 1.54 6.75
L 10 Aug America De Cali Atl. Nacional 1 0 2.43 3.15

Past meetings

Fortaleza
1·1·3
Atl. Nacional
  • Feb 2026 Atl. Nacional 4 - 1 Fortaleza
  • Aug 2025 Atl. Nacional 2 - 2 Fortaleza
  • Mar 2025 Fortaleza 1 - 5 Atl. Nacional
  • Oct 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Atl. Nacional
  • Apr 2024 Atl. Nacional 1 - 2 Fortaleza

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 36 +35 76
2 America De Cali 31 +19 55
3 Junior 36 +7 52
4 Deportes 33 +9 51
5 Santa Fe 31 +16 49
6 Millonarios 30 +18 48
7 Ind. Medellin 29 +9 47
8 Dep. Cali 28 +12 46
9 Once Caldas 30 +7 44
10 Bucaramanga 26 +10 38
11 Inter Bogotá 32 -10 36
12 Aguilas 28 -7 35
13 Dep. Pasto 29 -8 34
14 Cucuta 27 -14 30
15 Chico 27 -19 29
16 Llaneros 28 -8 28
17 Alianza 28 -18 28
18 Fortaleza 27 -11 26
19 Jaguares 29 -22 23
20 Pereira 29 -25 18
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