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Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Brazil
1 1.25
X 6.10
2 13.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
59%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @4.05 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Flamengo 41%@1.25
Draw 40%@6.10
Corinthians 19%@13.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 27%@3.95
Under 3.5 73%@1.46
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 40%@2.37
No 60%@1.58

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FlamengoModelCorinthians
1.99xG0.83
51%Ball possession49%
20Shots11
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls2
10Fouls made13
FlamengoRealCorinthians
2.62xG0.30
64%Ball possession36%
32Shots3
10Shots on goal1
20Corner kicks0
4Yellow cards3
1Offside calls0
14Fouls made9
FlamengoReal · ModelCorinthians
2.621.99xG0.300.83
64%51%Ball possession36%49%
3220Shots311
109Shots on goal14
207Corner kicks04
41Yellow cards33
11Offside calls02
1410Fouls made913

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FlamengoPer gameCorinthians
1.9Goals for / game0.9
0.7Goals against / game1.1
59%Ball possession57%
17.3Shots per game13.1
5.2Corners per game5.2
1.71Expected goals1.08

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FlamengoRateCorinthians
60%Wins30%
90%Over 1.570%
40%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Flamengo WDWWW
W 20 Sept Flamengo Bragantino 2 1 1.35 10.50
D 18 Sept Flamengo(Bra) Ind. del Valle(Ecu) 1 1 1.28 11.75
W 11 Sept Ind. del Valle(Ecu) Flamengo(Bra) 0 2 3.35 2.60
W 6 Sept Remo Flamengo 0 1 7.10 1.52
W 2 Sept Flamengo Mirassol 2 0 1.26 13.00
W 30 Aug Flamengo Botafogo 3 0 1.39 9.00
L 23 Aug Cruzeiro Flamengo 2 1 3.60 2.15
W 20 Aug Flamengo(Bra) Cruzeiro(Bra) 2 1 1.70 5.75
W 16 Aug Mirassol Flamengo 1 5 4.70 1.91
D 13 Aug Cruzeiro Flamengo 1 1 3.05 2.70
Corinthians LLDLL
L 20 Sept Corinthians Fluminense 1 3 2.22 3.65
L 17 Sept Corinthians(Bra) Estudiant(Arg) 0 1 2.18 4.50
D 10 Sept Estudiant(Arg) Corinthians(Bra) 1 1 2.47 4.00
L 6 Sept Corinthians Chapecoense-sc 1 2 1.47 8.25
L 30 Aug Corinthians Santos 0 1 1.90 4.85
L 23 Aug Coritiba Corinthians 2 1 3.00 2.76
W 21 Aug Corinthians(Bra) Rosario Central(Arg) 1 0 2.32 4.10
L 16 Aug Corinthians Cruzeiro 1 2 1.95 4.40
D 14 Aug Rosario Central(Arg) Corinthians(Bra) 0 0 2.30 3.95
W 9 Aug Bragantino Corinthians 0 2 2.27 3.50

Past meetings

Flamengo
3·1·2
Corinthians
  • Mar 2026 Corinthians 1 - 1 Flamengo
  • Feb 2026 Flamengo 0 - 2 Corinthians
  • Sept 2025 Corinthians 1 - 2 Flamengo
  • Apr 2025 Flamengo 4 - 0 Corinthians
  • Sept 2024 Corinthians 2 - 1 Flamengo
  • May 2024 Flamengo 2 - 0 Corinthians

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Flamengo 29 +33 62
2 Palmeiras 29 +26 58
3 Atletico P 29 +10 48
4 Fluminense 29 +7 47
5 Cruzeiro 28 +7 47
6 Bahia 29 +7 45
7 Atletico-MG 29 +5 44
8 Santos 29 +4 43
9 Coritiba 28 -6 37
10 Bragantino 29 0 35
11 Sao Paulo 29 0 35
12 Corinthians 29 -2 34
13 Botafogo 29 -8 34
14 Vasco 28 -6 33
15 Vitoria 29 -16 32
16 Gremio 29 -7 31
17 Mirassol 29 -10 31
18 Internacional 29 -5 30
19 Remo 29 -13 25
20 Chapecoense-sc 28 -26 17