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FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils prediction — Virsliga

Virsliga · Latvia
1 2.15
X 3.40
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
93%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.34 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FK Liepaja 72%@2.15
Draw 13%@3.40
BFC Daugavpils 15%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 31%@3.45
Under 3.5 69%@1.55
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.51
No 44%@2.43
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 68%@1.64
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FK LiepajaModelBFC Daugavpils
1.74xG0.97
50%Ball possession50%
15Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
14Fouls made13
FK LiepajaRealBFC Daugavpils
0.41xG1.17
60%Ball possession40%
7Shots14
1Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks9
1Yellow cards1
1Offside calls3
12Fouls made12
FK LiepajaReal · ModelBFC Daugavpils
0.411.74xG1.170.97
60%50%Ball possession40%50%
715Shots1411
15Shots on goal54
65Corner kicks94
12Yellow cards12
12Offside calls32
1214Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FK LiepajaPer gameBFC Daugavpils
1.4Goals for / game1.5
1.4Goals against / game1.0
46%Ball possession48%
15.0Shots per game12.4
4.8Corners per game4.0
1.77Expected goals1.08

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FK LiepajaRateBFC Daugavpils
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
60%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FK Liepaja DDWLW
D 11 Sept Ogre United FK Liepaja 2 2 4.50 1.65
D 7 Sept Rigas FS FK Liepaja 0 0 1.32 8.80
W 31 Aug FK Liepaja Riga 3 2 6.40 1.41
L 25 Aug Auda FK Liepaja 1 0 2.00 3.50
W 21 Aug FK Liepaja Grobina 3 1 1.56 5.30
W 9 Aug Super Nova FK Liepaja 1 2 3.35 1.98
L 2 Aug Tukums FK Liepaja 2 1 3.10 2.00
L 30 Jul Austria Vienna FK Liepaja 3 1 1.27 12.00
W 26 Jul Jelgava FK Liepaja 0 2 3.00 2.17
L 23 Jul FK Liepaja Austria Vienna 0 2 7.50 1.45
BFC Daugavpils LDLLD
L 13 Sept BFC Daugavpils Rigas FS 1 2 8.00 1.32
D 7 Sept Riga BFC Daugavpils 1 1 1.22 11.00
L 2 Sept BFC Daugavpils Auda 2 3 – –
L 29 Aug Grobina BFC Daugavpils 1 0 3.15 2.10
D 22 Aug Super Nova BFC Daugavpils 0 0 3.95 1.82
W 14 Aug BFC Daugavpils Ogre United 3 1 1.27 8.25
W 8 Aug BFC Daugavpils Tukums 2 0 1.75 4.05
W 1 Aug BFC Daugavpils Jelgava 2 1 2.12 3.25
L 26 Jul Auda BFC Daugavpils 1 0 2.25 3.15
W 19 Jul Ogre United BFC Daugavpils 0 4 3.95 1.87

Past meetings

FK Liepaja
4·0·2
BFC Daugavpils
  • Jul 2026 BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 FK Liepaja
  • May 2026 FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
  • Apr 2026 BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 FK Liepaja
  • Nov 2025 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
  • Aug 2025 BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
  • Aug 2025 FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 32 +49 76
2 Riga 32 +56 74
3 Auda 32 +19 62
4 FK Liepaja 32 -2 44
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 0 40
6 Super Nova 32 -11 37
7 Jelgava 32 -17 33
8 Grobina 32 -31 27
9 Tukums 32 -17 25
10 Ogre United 32 -46 19