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Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction — Serie A

Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina €322.75m
Full time 1 : 1
Napoli €432.50m
1 3.25
X 3.45
2 2.32

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.30 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Fiorentina 57%@3.25
Draw 17%@3.45
Napoli 26%@2.32
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.30
Under 1.5 25%@3.90
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 65%@1.74
No 35%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.70
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FiorentinaModelNapoli
1.40xG1.29
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots13
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls3
12Fouls made10
FiorentinaRealNapoli
0.94xG1.45
42%Ball possession58%
17Shots13
4Shots on goal5
4Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards0
0Offside calls1
11Fouls made9
FiorentinaReal · ModelNapoli
0.941.40xG1.451.29
42%48%Ball possession58%52%
1713Shots1313
45Shots on goal54
44Corner kicks55
32Yellow cards02
01Offside calls13
1112Fouls made910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FiorentinaPer gameNapoli
1.8Goals for / game1.8
1.8Goals against / game1.3
44%Ball possession47%
14.9Shots per game12.4
4.0Corners per game4.4
1.58Expected goals1.28

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FiorentinaRateNapoli
40%Wins50%
90%Over 1.580%
80%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Fiorentina WWLLL
W 15 Sept Fiorentina Pisa 3 0 1.41 9.25
W 11 Sept Venezia Fiorentina 2 4 2.75 2.65
L 5 Sept Fiorentina Torino 1 2 2.18 3.95
L 29 Aug Fiorentina Frosinone 0 3 1.80 4.70
L 24 Aug AS Roma Fiorentina 4 0 1.78 5.15
W 14 Aug Fiorentina Benevento 4 1 1.26 13.50
D 8 Aug Modena Fiorentina 0 0 – –
D 6 Aug Fiorentina Dep. A Coruna 1 1 1.84 4.20
D 1 Aug Real Madrid Fiorentina 2 2 1.90 3.95
W 29 Jul Watford Fiorentina 0 1 3.00 2.30
Napoli WLLLW
W 13 Sept Napoli Bologna 1 0 1.92 4.30
L 9 Sept Napoli(Ita) Arsenal(Eng) 0 1 6.10 1.70
L 5 Sept Inter Napoli 3 2 1.72 5.55
L 30 Aug Napoli Como 1 2 2.40 3.45
W 22 Aug Genoa Napoli 0 2 4.20 2.20
W 12 Aug Napoli Aris 6 2 1.36 7.50
D 8 Aug Napoli Celta Vigo 1 1 1.99 3.65
W 5 Aug Napoli Osasuna 2 1 1.85 4.60
W 26 Jul Napoli Carrarese 2 0 1.27 9.25
L 22 Jul Napoli Arezzo 1 3 1.19 13.00

Past meetings

Fiorentina
0·1·4
Napoli
  • Jan 2026 Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina
  • Sept 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 3 Napoli
  • Mar 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina
  • Jan 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 3 Napoli
  • May 2024 Fiorentina 2 - 2 Napoli

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AS Roma 6 +11 14
2 Inter 6 +7 14
3 Lazio 6 +5 14
4 Cagliari 6 +3 13
5 AC Milan 6 +6 12
6 Frosinone 7 +5 12
7 Juventus 6 +4 11
8 Como 6 +3 11
9 Sassuolo 7 0 9
10 Napoli 6 +1 8
11 Atalanta 6 -2 7
12 Lecce 6 -5 7
13 Udinese 6 -3 5
14 Torino 6 -3 5
15 Parma 6 -3 5
16 Monza 6 -4 5
17 Fiorentina 6 -6 5
18 Bologna 6 -3 3
19 Genoa 6 -7 2
20 Venezia 6 -9 1
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