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FBC Melgar vs FC Cajamarca prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
FBC Melgar €11.06m
Full time 2 : 4
FC Cajamarca €5.12m
1 1.27
X 5.80
2 10.50

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
78%Chance
FBC Melgar win 1 Odds @1.27 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FBC Melgar 78%@1.27
Draw 14%@5.80
FC Cajamarca 8%@10.50
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 63%@1.55
Under 2.5 37%@2.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@2.02
No 55%@1.72
Bet Builder
1X & Over 2.5 58%@1.68
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 3:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FBC MelgarModelFC Cajamarca
2.33xG0.90
54%Ball possession46%
22Shots10
9Shots on goal4
7Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards3
3Offside calls2
10Fouls made14
FBC MelgarRealFC Cajamarca
1.52xG2.15
70%Ball possession30%
19Shots16
7Shots on goal7
10Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards4
2Offside calls3
7Fouls made16
FBC MelgarReal · ModelFC Cajamarca
1.522.33xG2.150.90
70%54%Ball possession30%46%
1922Shots1610
79Shots on goal74
107Corner kicks43
32Yellow cards43
23Offside calls32
710Fouls made1614

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FBC MelgarPer gameFC Cajamarca
1.6Goals for / game1.5
0.9Goals against / game1.6
63%Ball possession49%
18.1Shots per game11.3
5.8Corners per game3.0
2.15Expected goals0.98

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FBC MelgarRateFC Cajamarca
40%Wins30%
70%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FBC Melgar DWWLD
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80
FC Cajamarca LWLWD
L 19 Sept FC Cajamarca Cusco 1 2 2.87 2.35
W 12 Sept Los Chankas FC Cajamarca 1 2 1.91 3.90
L 4 Sept FC Cajamarca Cienciano 2 5 3.00 2.24
W 28 Aug Comercian FC Cajamarca 2 3 1.63 5.60
D 21 Aug FC Cajamarca Grau 1 1 2.20 3.45
L 16 Aug FC Cajamarca Universitario 2 3 4.25 1.92
L 1 Aug FC Cajamarca Sport Huancayo 0 2 3.00 2.35
L 27 Jul Deportivo FC Cajamarca 2 1 1.73 5.20
D 17 Jul FC Cajamarca Juan Pablo II 2 2 2.22 3.05
L 26 Jun Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 3 1 2.07 3.55

Past meetings

FBC Melgar
0·0·1
FC Cajamarca
  • Feb 2026 FC Cajamarca 3 - 1 FBC Melgar

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day