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FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
FBC Melgar €9.94m
Full time 1 : 1
Alianza Lima €14.05m
1 2.18
X 3.15
2 3.55

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
93%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.32 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FBC Melgar 75%@2.18
Draw 13%@3.15
Alianza Lima 12%@3.55
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 71%@1.42
Under 1.5 29%@3.48
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 60%@2.00
No 40%@1.78
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 58%@1.82
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FBC MelgarModelAlianza Lima
1.94xG1.49
53%Ball possession47%
19Shots12
8Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
9Fouls made11
FBC MelgarRealAlianza Lima
1.13xG0.58
53%Ball possession47%
13Shots15
6Shots on goal8
3Corner kicks2
3Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
13Fouls made8
FBC MelgarReal · ModelAlianza Lima
1.131.94xG0.581.49
53%53%Ball possession47%47%
1319Shots1512
68Shots on goal85
36Corner kicks25
32Yellow cards12
32Offside calls01
139Fouls made811

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FBC MelgarPer gameAlianza Lima
1.6Goals for / game1.2
1.1Goals against / game1.3
63%Ball possession54%
17.3Shots per game14.1
6.3Corners per game5.3
1.85Expected goals1.68

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FBC MelgarRateAlianza Lima
40%Wins30%
70%Over 1.580%
60%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FBC Melgar DWWLW
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
W 7 Sept FBC Melgar ADT 3 0 1.42 8.00
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80
Alianza Lima LWLDL
L 1 Oct Alianza Lima(Per) Palestino(Chi) 1 2 1.98 3.50
W 19 Sept Alianza Lima ADT 2 0 1.28 10.00
L 13 Sept Alianza Lima Universitario 1 2 2.28 3.55
D 6 Sept Juan Pablo II Alianza Lima 1 1 4.10 1.92
L 30 Aug Alianza Lima Deportivo 0 1 1.32 16.00
W 16 Aug Alianza Lima Cajamarca 1 0 1.30 10.50
D 9 Aug Sport Boys Alianza Lima 1 1 4.25 1.90
W 2 Aug Alianza Lima Alianza Atl. 3 1 1.34 9.50
D 26 Jul Comercian Alianza Lima 2 2 3.70 2.20
W 20 Jul Alianza Lima Sport Huancayo 2 1 1.42 8.50

Past meetings

FBC Melgar
1·2·2
Alianza Lima
  • Mar 2026 Alianza Lima 3 - 1 FBC Melgar
  • Nov 2025 Alianza Lima 2 - 2 FBC Melgar
  • Jun 2025 FBC Melgar 0 - 1 Alianza Lima
  • Sept 2024 Alianza Lima 1 - 1 FBC Melgar
  • Apr 2024 FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Alianza Lima

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day