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FBC Melgar vs ADT prediction — Primera División

Primera División · Peru
FBC Melgar €10.21m
Full time 3 : 0
ADT €5.26m
1 1.42
X 5.20
2 8.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
57%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @3.05 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
FBC Melgar 43%@1.42
Draw 35%@5.20
ADT 22%@8.00
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 28%@3.93
Under 3.5 72%@1.53
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.87
No 45%@1.85

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

FBC MelgarModelADT
1.92xG0.92
54%Ball possession46%
20Shots9
9Shots on goal3
6Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards3
2Offside calls2
9Fouls made13
FBC MelgarRealADT
2.34xG0.89
59%Ball possession41%
22Shots12
8Shots on goal2
8Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
9Fouls made3
FBC MelgarReal · ModelADT
2.341.92xG0.890.92
59%54%Ball possession41%46%
2220Shots129
89Shots on goal23
86Corner kicks25
12Yellow cards13
32Offside calls02
99Fouls made313

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

FBC MelgarPer gameADT
1.2Goals for / game1.0
0.9Goals against / game1.8
60%Ball possession52%
17.4Shots per game10.9
5.5Corners per game5.5
1.69Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

FBC MelgarRateADT
30%Wins20%
60%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

FBC Melgar DWLDW
D 20 Sept FBC Melgar Sport Boys 1 1 1.42 7.50
W 12 Sept Cusco FBC Melgar 0 1 2.07 3.55
L 1 Sept Grau FBC Melgar 1 0 2.70 2.80
D 23 Aug FBC Melgar Alianza Lima 1 1 2.18 3.55
W 15 Aug Los Chankas FBC Melgar 0 3 3.35 2.23
L 9 Aug FBC Melgar FC Cajamarca 2 4 1.27 10.50
D 2 Aug Moquegua FBC Melgar 0 0 4.50 1.86
W 26 Jul FBC Melgar Sporting 2 1 1.74 4.80
W 18 Jul Cienciano FBC Melgar 1 3 2.00 3.60
D 29 Jun FBC Melgar Moquegua 0 0 1.64 5.80
ADT LLWLL
L 1 Oct Sporting ADT 5 0 1.55 6.50
L 27 Sept ADT Sporting 0 1 3.15 2.18
W 23 Sept ADT Cienciano 2 1 3.60 1.98
L 19 Sept Alianza Lima ADT 2 0 1.28 10.00
L 30 Aug ADT Sport Huancayo 1 3 2.43 2.88
W 27 Aug ADT Moquegua 2 0 1.55 6.00
L 22 Aug Juan Pablo II ADT 5 1 1.91 4.10
D 15 Aug ADT Alianza Atl. 1 1 1.88 4.60
D 8 Aug Cajamarca ADT 1 1 1.83 4.30
L 2 Aug ADT Deportivo 0 1 2.10 3.60

Past meetings

FBC Melgar
2·2·0
ADT
  • Mar 2026 ADT 1 - 1 FBC Melgar
  • Aug 2025 ADT 2 - 2 FBC Melgar
  • Apr 2025 FBC Melgar 4 - 0 ADT
  • Mar 2024 FBC Melgar 3 - 1 ADT

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 26 +25 53
2 Deportivo 26 +15 47
3 Universitario 26 +10 46
4 Cusco 27 +3 46
5 FBC Melgar 26 +14 43
6 Los Chankas 27 -9 42
7 Cienciano 26 +8 41
8 Alianza Atl. 27 +3 38
9 Sport Boys 27 +3 38
10 Sporting 26 +9 37
11 Sport Huancayo 27 -6 36
12 Juan Pablo II 26 -10 33
13 Comercian 27 -3 30
14 Grau 26 -5 30
15 FC Cajamarca 26 -9 27
16 ADT 27 -11 26
17 Moquegua 26 -16 25
18 Cajamarca 25 -21 14
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