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Excelsior vs PSV prediction — Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior €15.30m
Full time 1 : 2
PSV €283.60m
1 6.80
X 5.50
2 1.47

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
85%Chance
Over 2.5 goals O2.5 Odds @1.36 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Excelsior 19%@6.80
Draw 24%@5.50
PSV 57%@1.47
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 79%@1.36
Under 2.5 21%@5.12
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.46
No 37%@2.70
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 82%@1.21
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

ExcelsiorModelPSV
1.69xG2.26
48%Ball possession52%
13Shots18
7Shots on goal10
4Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made9
ExcelsiorRealPSV
0.32xG2.20
41%Ball possession59%
5Shots20
2Shots on goal8
1Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards0
1Offside calls1
9Fouls made3
ExcelsiorReal · ModelPSV
0.321.69xG2.202.26
41%48%Ball possession59%52%
513Shots2018
27Shots on goal810
14Corner kicks78
11Yellow cards02
11Offside calls11
911Fouls made39

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

ExcelsiorPer gamePSV
3.3Goals for / game2.7
1.0Goals against / game1.9
54%Ball possession50%
15.8Shots per game14.2
5.2Corners per game5.1
2.10Expected goals1.71

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

ExcelsiorRatePSV
90%Wins40%
100%Over 1.5100%
80%Over 2.590%
70%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Excelsior DLDWW
D 19 Sept Ajax Excelsior 2 2 1.24 12.00
L 13 Sept Excelsior Utrecht 1 2 2.12 3.30
D 8 Sept Nijmegen Excelsior 2 2 1.97 3.90
W 5 Sept Willem II Excelsior 0 3 3.05 2.27
W 29 Aug Excelsior S. Rotterdam 2 1 2.22 3.10
W 7 Aug Cambuur Excelsior 0 4 2.67 2.72
W 1 Aug De Graafschap Excelsior 1 5 3.00 1.97
W 24 Jul Heracles Excelsior 1 4 – –
W 18 Jul NAC Breda Excelsior 1 3 2.52 2.45
W 11 Jul Dordrecht Excelsior 0 2 – –
PSV LWDWW
L 20 Sept Twente PSV 3 2 2.90 2.22
W 13 Sept PSV S. Rotterdam 4 1 1.22 13.50
D 10 Sept PSV(Ned) Shakhtar (Ukr) 1 1 1.53 6.40
W 5 Sept Ajax PSV 1 3 2.62 2.55
W 30 Aug Utrecht PSV 1 6 5.60 1.53
W 23 Aug PSV Groningen 5 1 1.30 10.00
D 8 Aug PSV Sittard (Ned) 2 2 1.19 17.00
L 2 Aug PSV AZ Alkmaar 0 4 1.67 5.25
W 28 Jul PSV FC Eindhoven 3 0 1.42 6.00
L 25 Jul PSV Villarreal 1 3 1.83 3.70

Past meetings

Excelsior
0·0·5
PSV
  • Jan 2026 PSV 5 - 1 Excelsior
  • Sept 2025 Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV
  • Jan 2025 PSV 5 - 4 Excelsior
  • Apr 2024 Excelsior 0 - 2 PSV
  • Jan 2024 PSV 3 - 1 Excelsior

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 +12 20
2 Feyenoord 8 +18 18
3 PSV 8 +14 17
4 Twente 8 +8 17
5 Ajax 8 +12 15
6 Sittard (Ned) 8 -1 14
7 Excelsior 9 +6 13
8 Groningen 8 +2 12
9 G.A. Eagles 8 +2 11
10 Heerenveen 9 +2 11
11 Nijmegen 8 -1 9
12 S. Rotterdam 8 -7 6
13 Telstar 8 -7 6
14 Cambuur 8 -9 6
15 Utrecht 8 -13 6
16 Zwolle 8 -14 5
17 Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II 8 -14 3
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