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Etoile C vs Xamax prediction — Challenge League

Challenge League · Switzerland
Etoile C €4.80m
Full time 0 : 1
Xamax €5.70m
1 2.45
X 3.55
2 2.57

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
75%Chance
Both teams to score BTTS Odds @1.44 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Etoile C 48%@2.45
Draw 22%@3.55
Xamax 30%@2.57
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 77%@1.50
Under 2.5 23%@5.02
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 69%@1.44
No 31%@2.65
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 59%@1.71
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Etoile CModelXamax
1.23xG1.52
50%Ball possession50%
16Shots14
7Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made12
Etoile CRealXamax
2.21xG1.17
62%Ball possession38%
26Shots12
7Shots on goal4
3Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls1
9Fouls made13
Etoile CReal · ModelXamax
2.211.23xG1.171.52
62%50%Ball possession38%50%
2616Shots1214
77Shots on goal46
34Corner kicks74
13Yellow cards22
21Offside calls11
911Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Etoile CPer gameXamax
0.9Goals for / game2.0
2.3Goals against / game2.3
52%Ball possession49%
18.4Shots per game14.0
5.4Corners per game5.2
1.15Expected goals1.51

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Etoile CRateXamax
20%Wins50%
80%Over 1.5100%
70%Over 2.5100%
40%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Etoile C LLDLW
L 18 Sept Kriens Etoile C 4 1 2.55 2.57
L 11 Sept Etoile C Winterthur 0 1 2.90 2.22
D 4 Sept Etoile C Wil 1 1 1.74 4.11
L 1 Sept Lausanne Ouchy Etoile C 3 0 1.72 4.55
W 28 Aug Etoile C Rapperswil 2 1 1.92 3.55
D 21 Aug Stade Nyonnais Etoile C 0 0 4.60 1.70
W 15 Aug Collex-Bossy Etoile C 0 2 – –
D 31 Jul Yverdon Etoile C 1 1 1.80 3.90
W 24 Jul Etoile C Aarau 3 0 3.35 2.07
L 18 Jul Young Boys Etoile C 5 0 – –
Xamax LLWLL
L 2 Oct Sochaux(Fra) Xamax(Sui) 2 1 – –
L 18 Sept Xamax Rapperswil 0 3 2.15 2.92
W 11 Sept Stade Nyonnais Xamax 1 3 3.30 2.00
L 4 Sept Winterthur Xamax 4 0 2.07 3.16
L 1 Sept Xamax Yverdon 1 2 2.67 2.37
L 28 Aug Aarau Xamax 2 1 2.02 3.30
L 21 Aug Xamax Lausanne Ouchy 1 2 3.20 2.12
D 15 Aug Meyrin Xamax 0 0 6.10 1.40
W 31 Jul Wil Xamax 1 2 2.52 2.50
W 24 Jul Xamax Kriens 3 2 1.85 3.55

Past meetings

Etoile C
2·0·4
Xamax
  • May 2026 Xamax 3 - 0 Etoile C
  • Feb 2026 Etoile C 1 - 3 Xamax
  • Oct 2025 Etoile C 0 - 2 Xamax
  • Aug 2025 Xamax 2 - 1 Etoile C
  • May 2025 Xamax 1 - 2 Etoile C
  • Feb 2025 Etoile C 2 - 1 Xamax

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 +14 22
2 Winterthur 10 +11 19
3 Yverdon 10 +5 17
4 Kriens 10 +5 15
5 Aarau 10 -2 13
6 Xamax 10 -5 13
7 Rapperswil 10 -1 11
8 Etoile C 10 -4 10
9 Wil 10 -6 10
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 -17 3
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