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Etoile C vs Winterthur prediction — Challenge League

Challenge League · Switzerland
Etoile C €4.35m
Full time 0 : 1
Winterthur €6.45m
1 2.90
X 3.55
2 2.22

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
62%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.63 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Etoile C 25%@2.90
Draw 43%@3.55
Winterthur 32%@2.22
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 38%@2.66
Under 3.5 62%@1.63
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 58%@1.45
No 42%@2.67
Bet Builder
1X & Under 5.5 55%@1.89
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Etoile CModelWinterthur
1.69xG1.88
51%Ball possession49%
19Shots17
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made13
Etoile CRealWinterthur
0.75xG1.33
55%Ball possession45%
17Shots18
3Shots on goal7
10Corner kicks8
1Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
10Fouls made16
Etoile CReal · ModelWinterthur
0.751.69xG1.331.88
55%51%Ball possession45%49%
1719Shots1817
37Shots on goal77
105Corner kicks85
12Yellow cards22
01Offside calls22
1012Fouls made1613

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Etoile CPer gameWinterthur
1.1Goals for / game2.1
1.3Goals against / game1.0
54%Ball possession54%
18.3Shots per game16.9
5.3Corners per game5.4
1.61Expected goals1.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Etoile CRateWinterthur
40%Wins40%
80%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.550%
40%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Etoile C LDLWD
L 18 Sept Kriens Etoile C 4 1 2.55 2.57
D 4 Sept Etoile C Wil 1 1 1.74 4.11
L 1 Sept Lausanne Ouchy Etoile C 3 0 1.72 4.55
W 28 Aug Etoile C Rapperswil 2 1 1.92 3.55
D 21 Aug Stade Nyonnais Etoile C 0 0 4.60 1.70
W 15 Aug Collex-Bossy Etoile C 0 2 – –
L 7 Aug Etoile C Xamax 0 1 2.45 2.57
D 31 Jul Yverdon Etoile C 1 1 1.80 3.90
W 24 Jul Etoile C Aarau 3 0 3.35 2.07
L 18 Jul Young Boys Etoile C 5 0 – –
Winterthur WWWWD
W 3 Oct Winterthur(Sui) Basel (Sui)(Sui) 7 3 4.15 1.70
W 30 Sept Seuzach(Sui) Winterthur(Sui) 1 4 – –
W 18 Sept Winterthur Aarau 2 1 2.00 3.25
W 4 Sept Winterthur Xamax 4 0 2.07 3.16
D 1 Sept Stade Nyonnais Winterthur 2 2 4.40 1.67
D 28 Aug Winterthur Lausanne Ouchy 1 1 2.72 2.45
W 21 Aug Rapperswil Winterthur 0 2 2.92 2.17
W 15 Aug Zurich City Winterthur 1 3 – –
W 7 Aug Winterthur Wil 5 0 1.98 3.35
L 31 Jul Kriens Winterthur 2 0 3.20 2.05

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 +14 22
2 Winterthur 10 +11 19
3 Yverdon 10 +5 17
4 Kriens 10 +5 15
5 Aarau 10 -2 13
6 Xamax 10 -5 13
7 Rapperswil 10 -1 11
8 Etoile C 10 -4 10
9 Wil 10 -6 10
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 -17 3
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