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Ethiopia vs Senegal prediction — Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

1 9.75
X 5.00
2 1.38

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
86%Chance
Senegal win 2 Odds @1.38 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Ethiopia 5%@9.75
Draw 9%@5.00
Senegal 86%@1.38
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 30%@3.06
Under 3.5 70%@1.31
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 24%@2.40
No 76%@1.58
Bet Builder
2 & Under 4.5 69%@1.67
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EthiopiaModelSenegal
44%Ball possession56%
4Shots15
2Shots on goal6
4Corner kicks6
0Yellow cards2
0Offside calls2
0Fouls made13
EthiopiaRealSenegal
39%Ball possession61%
11Shots7
1Shots on goal3
5Corner kicks2
1Yellow cards4
7Offside calls0
16Fouls made7
EthiopiaReal · ModelSenegal
39%44%Ball possession61%56%
114Shots715
12Shots on goal36
54Corner kicks26
10Yellow cards42
70Offside calls02
160Fouls made713

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EthiopiaPer gameSenegal
1.4Goals for / game1.9
1.0Goals against / game1.4
48%Ball possession59%

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EthiopiaRateSenegal
50%Wins40%
60%Over 1.580%
30%Over 2.560%
30%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Ethiopia LDDWW
L 25 Sept Sudan Ethiopia 1 0 2.02 4.25
D 12 Jul DC United Ethiopia 0 0 – –
D 9 Jun Ethiopia Malawi 1 1 2.60 2.90
W 6 Jun Ethiopia Malawi 1 0 2.50 3.60
W 31 Mar Ethiopia Sao T 1 0 1.37 9.00
W 27 Mar Sao T Ethiopia 0 3 5.00 1.83
L 12 Oct Burkina Faso Ethiopia 3 1 1.17 18.00
W 8 Oct Ethiopia Guinea Bissau 1 0 5.50 1.70
L 9 Sept Sierra Leone Ethiopia 2 0 2.35 3.20
L 5 Sept Egypt Ethiopia 2 0 1.17 21.00
Senegal WDLWL
W 4 Oct Comoros Senegal 0 1 – –
D 25 Sept Mozambique Senegal 1 1 14.00 1.26
L 1 Jul Belgium Senegal 3 2 2.10 4.05
W 26 Jun Senegal Iraq 5 0 1.25 14.00
L 23 Jun Norway Senegal 3 2 2.42 3.20
L 16 Jun France Senegal 3 1 1.53 7.40
D 10 Jun Saudi Arabia Senegal 0 0 6.30 1.65
L 31 May USA Senegal 3 2 2.75 2.57
W 31 Mar Senegal Gambia 3 1 1.15 25.00
W 28 Mar Senegal Peru 2 0 1.47 7.75

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.