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Estonia vs Luxembourg prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
Estonia €14.90m
Full time 1 : 0
Luxembourg €33.17m
1 2.88
X 3.05
2 2.92

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.16 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Estonia 22%@2.88
Draw 21%@3.05
Luxembourg 57%@2.92
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@9.39
Under 3.5 89%@1.16
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.17
No 56%@1.65
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.62
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EstoniaModelLuxembourg
1.02xG0.94
49%Ball possession51%
8Shots10
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks3
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
15Fouls made13
EstoniaRealLuxembourg
1.49xG0.53
46%Ball possession54%
14Shots8
9Shots on goal2
7Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards6
4Offside calls2
13Fouls made12
EstoniaReal · ModelLuxembourg
1.491.02xG0.530.94
46%49%Ball possession54%51%
148Shots810
94Shots on goal24
74Corner kicks33
32Yellow cards62
41Offside calls21
1315Fouls made1213

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EstoniaPer gameLuxembourg
1.1Goals for / game0.8
1.4Goals against / game1.4
46%Ball possession49%
9.0Shots per game8.7
3.1Corners per game2.8
0.85Expected goals0.79

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EstoniaRateLuxembourg
30%Wins40%
70%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS10%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Estonia DDWLD
D 29 Sept Bulgaria Estonia 0 0 1.90 5.10
D 26 Sept Iceland Estonia 1 1 1.31 12.00
W 6 Jun Estonia Faroe Islands 1 0 2.57 2.70
L 30 Mar Rwanda Estonia 2 0 1.73 5.75
D 27 Mar Kenya Estonia 1 1 2.23 3.30
W 18 Nov Cyprus Estonia 2 4 1.90 4.40
L 13 Nov Norway Estonia 4 1 1.03 55.00
D 14 Oct Estonia Moldova 1 1 2.20 3.55
L 11 Oct Estonia Italy 1 3 29.00 1.08
D 9 Sept Estonia Andorra 0 0 1.75 5.40
Luxembourg LWWLW
L 29 Sept Luxembourg Iceland 0 3 3.50 2.35
W 26 Sept Bulgaria Luxembourg 1 2 2.50 3.65
W 6 Jun Albania Luxembourg 0 1 1.67 5.90
L 3 Jun Luxembourg Italy 0 1 7.50 1.47
W 31 Mar Luxembourg Malta 3 0 1.75 5.60
W 26 Mar Malta Luxembourg 0 2 4.10 2.27
L 17 Nov N. Ireland Luxembourg 1 0 1.95 5.10
L 14 Nov Luxembourg Germany 0 2 23.00 1.10
L 13 Oct Slovakia Luxembourg 2 0 1.33 10.50
L 10 Oct Germany Luxembourg 4 0 1.08 36.00

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.

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