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England vs Spain prediction — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · World
England €1.78bn
Full time 2 : 3
Spain €1.34bn
1 3.45
X 3.55
2 2.27

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
72%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.34 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
England 23%@3.45
Draw 22%@3.55
Spain 55%@2.27
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 76%@1.25
Under 1.5 24%@3.96
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.61
No 44%@2.32
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 58%@1.60
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EnglandModelSpain
1.67xG1.64
48%Ball possession52%
16Shots15
6Shots on goal5
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards1
2Offside calls3
10Fouls made12
EnglandRealSpain
1.53xG2.99
47%Ball possession53%
13Shots15
5Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks3
3Yellow cards0
1Offside calls1
11Fouls made16
EnglandReal · ModelSpain
1.531.67xG2.991.64
47%48%Ball possession53%52%
1316Shots1515
56Shots on goal55
65Corner kicks35
32Yellow cards01
12Offside calls13
1110Fouls made1612

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EnglandPer gameSpain
2.4Goals for / game1.8
1.2Goals against / game0.3
59%Ball possession64%
16.9Shots per game16.1
5.9Corners per game6.5
1.94Expected goals1.75

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EnglandRateSpain
80%Wins80%
80%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.540%
60%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

England WWWLW
W 3 Oct Croatia England 0 7 5.00 1.78
W 29 Sept Czechia England 0 2 9.75 1.37
W 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
L 15 Jul England Argentina 1 2 2.82 3.15
W 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 6 Jul Mexico England 2 3 3.20 2.60
W 1 Jul England Congo DR 2 1 1.33 14.50
W 27 Jun Panama England 0 2 19.00 1.18
D 23 Jun England Ghana 0 0 1.22 19.00
W 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40
Spain WWWWW
W 3 Oct Spain Czechia 3 1 1.09 31.00
W 29 Sept Spain Croatia 4 1 1.28 12.00
W 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 14 Jul France Spain 0 2 2.67 3.20
W 10 Jul Spain Belgium 2 1 1.72 5.70
W 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 2 Jul Spain Austria 3 0 1.35 11.25
W 27 Jun Uruguay Spain 0 1 6.20 1.75
W 21 Jun Spain Saudi Arabia 4 0 1.14 30.00
D 15 Jun Spain Cape Verde 0 0 1.12 35.00

Past meetings

England
0·0·1
Spain
  • Jul 2024 Spain 2 - 1 England
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