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England vs Argentina prediction — World Cup

World Cup · World
1 2.82
X 3.00
2 3.15

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
78%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.47 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
England 52%@2.82
Draw 25%@3.00
Argentina 23%@3.15
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 78%@1.47
Under 1.5 22%@5.21
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.95
No 45%@1.90
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@2.04
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EnglandModelArgentina
1.96xG2.05
50%Ball possession50%
17Shots15
9Shots on goal8
7Corner kicks5
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls3
10Fouls made13
EnglandRealArgentina
0.53xG1.84
36%Ball possession64%
5Shots15
2Shots on goal5
1Corner kicks6
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls3
11Fouls made15
EnglandReal · ModelArgentina
0.531.96xG1.842.05
36%50%Ball possession64%50%
517Shots1515
29Shots on goal58
17Corner kicks65
11Yellow cards32
12Offside calls33
1110Fouls made1513

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EnglandPer gameArgentina
1.8Goals for / game2.9
0.8Goals against / game0.7
62%Ball possession64%
17.7Shots per game14.8
7.2Corners per game4.9
1.94Expected goals2.01

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EnglandRateArgentina
70%Wins100%
70%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

England WWLWW
W 3 Oct Croatia England 0 7 5.00 1.78
W 29 Sept Czechia England 0 2 9.75 1.37
L 26 Sept England Spain 2 3 3.45 2.27
W 18 Jul France England 4 6 1.88 4.30
W 11 Jul Norway England 1 2 4.30 1.93
W 6 Jul Mexico England 2 3 3.20 2.60
W 1 Jul England Congo DR 2 1 1.33 14.50
W 27 Jun Panama England 0 2 19.00 1.18
D 23 Jun England Ghana 0 0 1.22 19.00
W 17 Jun England Croatia 4 2 1.77 5.40
Argentina WWLWW
W 4 Oct Argentina Burkina Faso 7 0 1.02 70.00
W 1 Oct Argentina Bolivia 4 0 1.09 35.00
L 19 Jul Spain Argentina 1 0 2.47 3.75
W 12 Jul Argentina Switzerland 3 1 1.78 6.00
W 7 Jul Argentina Egypt 3 2 1.38 11.50
W 3 Jul Argentina Cape Verde 3 2 1.18 23.00
W 28 Jun Jordan Argentina 1 3 21.00 1.18
W 22 Jun Argentina Austria 2 0 1.52 7.70
W 17 Jun Argentina Algeria 3 0 1.60 8.00
W 10 Jun Argentina Iceland 3 0 1.23 18.50

Past meetings

No recent games between them

For this fixture, the model works from current form and the underlying stats instead.