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Emelec vs Libertad prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Emelec €16.53m
Full time 1 : 2
Libertad €6.07m
1 1.68
X 3.70
2 5.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 3.5 goals U3.5 Odds @1.25 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Emelec 43%@1.68
Draw 43%@3.70
Libertad 14%@5.20
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 11%@10.11
Under 3.5 89%@1.25
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 46%@2.07
No 54%@1.76
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 55%@1.33
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EmelecModelLibertad
1.29xG0.90
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots11
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
12Fouls made12
EmelecRealLibertad
1.65xG0.50
53%Ball possession47%
18Shots10
7Shots on goal6
7Corner kicks8
3Yellow cards4
2Offside calls4
11Fouls made12
EmelecReal · ModelLibertad
1.651.29xG0.500.90
53%54%Ball possession47%46%
1814Shots1011
75Shots on goal64
75Corner kicks84
32Yellow cards42
21Offside calls41
1112Fouls made1212

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EmelecPer gameLibertad
0.8Goals for / game1.5
1.1Goals against / game0.8
48%Ball possession42%
12.4Shots per game13.1
4.5Corners per game3.7
1.02Expected goals0.99

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EmelecRateLibertad
30%Wins60%
70%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.540%
50%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Emelec LWDWL
L 13 Sept Macara Emelec 1 0 1.89 4.40
W 8 Sept Emelec Manta 1 0 1.66 6.00
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
W 31 Aug Emelec Leones d 2 1 1.85 4.70
L 24 Aug LDU Quito Emelec 2 0 1.57 5.80
W 16 Aug Emelec Tecnico U. 2 1 1.70 5.50
D 10 Aug Guayaquil City Emelec 0 0 2.95 2.48
L 2 Aug Emelec Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40
L 28 Jul Dep. Cuenca Emelec 2 1 2.32 3.40
D 24 Jul Emelec Mushuc Runa 1 1 1.82 4.40
Libertad LWDLW
L 14 Sept Libertad Ind. del Valle 2 3 3.85 2.07
W 7 Sept Dep. Cuenca Libertad 0 1 1.75 4.80
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
L 30 Aug Aucas Libertad 1 0 1.55 6.40
W 25 Aug Libertad Macara 1 0 3.20 2.28
D 15 Aug Guayaquil City Libertad 2 2 1.96 4.10
W 10 Aug Libertad U. Catolica 2 1 4.25 1.95
W 1 Aug Libertad Orense 3 0 2.85 2.50
W 27 Jul Mushuc Runa Libertad 0 2 1.60 5.70
W 21 Jul Libertad Delfin 1 0 2.30 3.25

Past meetings

Emelec
1·4·1
Libertad
  • Sept 2026 Libertad 1 - 1 Emelec
  • May 2026 Emelec 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Aug 2025 Libertad 1 - 2 Emelec
  • Apr 2025 Emelec 1 - 1 Libertad
  • Nov 2024 Libertad 2 - 1 Emelec
  • Jun 2024 Emelec 0 - 0 Libertad

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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