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Emelec vs Leones d prediction — Liga Pro

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Emelec €13.23m
Full time 2 : 1
Leones d €6.32m
1 1.85
X 3.40
2 4.70

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Lost ✗
72%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.58 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Emelec 38%@1.85
Draw 21%@3.40
Leones d 41%@4.70
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 28%@4.06
Under 2.5 72%@1.58
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.07
No 56%@1.69
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 55%@2.23
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

EmelecModelLeones d
1.18xG0.84
49%Ball possession51%
14Shots10
5Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made12
EmelecRealLeones d
1.27xG0.30
49%Ball possession51%
12Shots11
4Shots on goal4
4Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls0
15Fouls made14
EmelecReal · ModelLeones d
1.271.18xG0.300.84
49%49%Ball possession51%51%
1214Shots1110
45Shots on goal44
44Corner kicks44
21Yellow cards12
12Offside calls02
1510Fouls made1412

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

EmelecPer gameLeones d
0.8Goals for / game0.9
1.5Goals against / game1.2
45%Ball possession48%
11.7Shots per game13.7
4.0Corners per game4.6
1.01Expected goals1.05

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

EmelecRateLeones d
20%Wins50%
80%Over 1.560%
30%Over 2.520%
50%BTTS30%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Emelec LLWDL
L 20 Sept Emelec Libertad 1 2 1.68 5.20
L 13 Sept Macara Emelec 1 0 1.89 4.40
W 8 Sept Emelec Manta 1 0 1.66 6.00
D 4 Sept Libertad Emelec 1 1 2.38 3.20
L 24 Aug LDU Quito Emelec 2 0 1.57 5.80
W 16 Aug Emelec Tecnico U. 2 1 1.70 5.50
D 10 Aug Guayaquil City Emelec 0 0 2.95 2.48
L 2 Aug Emelec Aucas 0 2 2.25 3.40
L 28 Jul Dep. Cuenca Emelec 2 1 2.32 3.40
D 24 Jul Emelec Mushuc Runa 1 1 1.82 4.40
Leones d DLDWW
D 19 Sept Guayaquil City Leones d 1 1 2.32 3.35
L 13 Sept Leones d Tecnico U. 0 1 1.93 4.25
D 8 Sept Mushuc Runa Leones d 1 1 2.12 3.90
W 3 Sept Leones d Orense 1 0 1.90 4.40
W 22 Aug Leones d Ind. del Valle 1 0 5.30 1.70
W 15 Aug Manta Leones d 0 2 2.75 2.87
L 8 Aug Aucas Leones d 3 0 1.85 4.65
D 3 Aug Leones d Barcelona SC 1 1 2.60 2.90
L 30 Jul LDU Quito Leones d 6 0 1.58 5.50
W 26 Jul Delfin Leones d 0 1 2.25 3.50

Past meetings

Emelec
0·1·1
Leones d
  • May 2026 Leones d 2 - 0 Emelec
  • Oct 2025 Leones d 0 - 0 Emelec

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Ind. del Valle 31 +38 72
2 Macara 32 +9 55
3 U. Catolica 32 +23 52
4 Aucas 32 +4 51
5 LDU Quito 32 +8 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 +7 45
7 Libertad 32 0 45
8 Leones d 32 +1 44
9 Guayaquil City 32 -3 41
10 Mushuc Runa 32 -3 40
11 Emelec 32 -10 40
12 Dep. Cuenca 32 -12 38
13 Orense 32 -12 34
14 Tecnico U. 32 -14 34
15 Delfin 32 -12 30
16 Manta 32 -24 25
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