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Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League · World
Dortmund(Ger) €564.45m
Full time 3 : 2
Villarreal(Esp) €331.60m
1 1.78
X 4.20
2 4.60

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
81%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.24 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Dortmund 63%@1.78
Draw 19%@4.20
Villarreal 18%@4.60
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 88%@1.54
Under 2.5 12%@11.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 71%@1.54
No 29%@2.63
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 72%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DortmundModelVillarreal
1.82xG1.43
45%Ball possession55%
14Shots12
6Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
DortmundRealVillarreal
2.80xG1.30
52%Ball possession48%
18Shots13
6Shots on goal6
9Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards3
1Offside calls3
15Fouls made10
DortmundReal · ModelVillarreal
2.801.82xG1.301.43
52%45%Ball possession48%55%
1814Shots1312
66Shots on goal67
95Corner kicks76
12Yellow cards32
11Offside calls32
1512Fouls made1012

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DortmundPer gameVillarreal
2.1Goals for / game1.7
1.2Goals against / game1.4
52%Ball possession57%
14.9Shots per game17.0
6.0Corners per game6.3
1.76Expected goals2.19

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DortmundRateVillarreal
60%Wins40%
80%Over 1.580%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Dortmund(Ger) WWWWW
W 19 Sept Stuttgart Dortmund 0 1 2.42 2.75
W 12 Sept Dortmund Paderborn 3 0 1.31 11.00
W 5 Sept Hoffenheim Dortmund 2 3 2.52 2.67
W 1 Sept HEBC Dortmund 0 5 – –
W 29 Aug Dortmund Hamburger 2 0 1.37 8.25
L 22 Aug Dortmund Bayern Munich 1 2 5.40 1.62
D 15 Aug Dortmund(Ger) AS Roma(Ita) 2 2 1.97 3.50
W 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
D 1 Aug FC Tokyo Dortmund 0 0 3.25 2.07
L 29 Jul Cerezo Osaka Dortmund 1 0 4.60 1.75
Villarreal(Esp) WWLLL
W 20 Sept Villarreal Levante 3 1 1.60 5.60
W 17 Sept Malaga Villarreal 1 3 3.55 2.12
L 14 Sept Villarreal Betis 1 2 2.00 3.70
L 5 Sept Villarreal Dep. A Coruna 2 3 1.48 7.00
L 28 Aug Alaves Villarreal 1 0 3.15 2.35
D 23 Aug Atl. Madrid Villarreal 2 2 1.87 4.40
D 16 Aug Racing S Villarreal 2 2 3.50 2.12
W 8 Aug Galatasaray Villarreal 1 2 2.55 2.55
W 5 Aug Villarreal Levante 1 0 1.92 4.05
L 1 Aug Lens Villarreal 3 1 2.22 2.92

Past meetings

Dortmund(Ger)
1·0·0
Villarreal(Esp)
  • Nov 2025 Dortmund 4 - 0 Villarreal
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