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Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction — Super Cup

Super Cup · Germany
Dortmund €529.20m
Full time 1 : 2
Bayern Munich €1.08bn
1 5.40
X 5.15
2 1.62

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
80%Chance
Bayern Munchen win 2 Odds @1.62 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Dortmund 10%@5.40
Draw 10%@5.15
Bayern Munich 80%@1.62
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 71%@1.34
Under 2.5 29%@3.28
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 45%@1.40
No 55%@2.92
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 81%@1.26
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:3 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DortmundModelBayern Munich
1.74xG2.50
45%Ball possession55%
11Shots19
5Shots on goal11
4Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
1Offside calls2
12Fouls made8
DortmundRealBayern Munich
1.59xG1.84
39%Ball possession61%
8Shots21
3Shots on goal10
7Corner kicks6
0Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
16Fouls made8
DortmundReal · ModelBayern Munich
1.591.74xG1.842.50
39%45%Ball possession61%55%
811Shots2119
35Shots on goal1011
74Corner kicks66
02Yellow cards11
31Offside calls02
1612Fouls made88

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DortmundPer gameBayern Munich
1.9Goals for / game2.5
1.1Goals against / game1.2
53%Ball possession66%
12.4Shots per game16.1
4.6Corners per game5.1
1.84Expected goals1.96

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DortmundRateBayern Munich
60%Wins70%
70%Over 1.590%
60%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Dortmund WWWWW
W 19 Sept Stuttgart Dortmund 0 1 2.42 2.75
W 12 Sept Dortmund Paderborn 3 0 1.31 11.00
W 8 Sept Dortmund(Ger) Villarreal(Esp) 3 2 1.78 4.60
W 5 Sept Hoffenheim Dortmund 2 3 2.52 2.67
W 1 Sept HEBC Dortmund 0 5 – –
W 29 Aug Dortmund Hamburger 2 0 1.37 8.25
D 15 Aug Dortmund(Ger) AS Roma(Ita) 2 2 1.97 3.50
W 9 Aug Arsenal Dortmund 2 3 – –
D 1 Aug FC Tokyo Dortmund 0 0 3.25 2.07
L 29 Jul Cerezo Osaka Dortmund 1 0 4.60 1.75
Bayern Munich WWWDW
W 18 Sept Bayern Munich Union Berlin 7 0 1.05 43.00
W 13 Sept Elversberg Bayern Munich 1 2 14.00 1.20
W 10 Sept Bayern Munich(Ger) Bodo/Glimt(Nor) 5 0 1.10 25.00
D 5 Sept Schalke Bayern Munich 0 0 14.00 1.22
W 2 Sept VfL Osnabruck Bayern Munich 1 4 51.00 1.03
W 28 Aug Bayern Munich Stuttgart 5 1 1.25 10.25
W 18 Aug Heidenheim(Ger) Bayern Munich(Ger) 2 4 8.50 1.37
W 15 Aug Bayern Munich(Ger) RB Leipzig(Ger) 3 1 1.50 5.60
W 7 Aug Bayern Munich Aston Villa 2 1 2.12 3.20
W 4 Aug Jeju SK Bayern Munich 1 2 12.00 1.20

Past meetings

Dortmund
1·2·2
Bayern Munich
  • Feb 2026 Dortmund 2 - 3 Bayern Munich
  • Oct 2025 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 Dortmund
  • Apr 2025 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 Dortmund
  • Nov 2024 Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayern Munich
  • Mar 2024 Bayern Munich 0 - 2 Dortmund
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