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Derry City vs Dundalk prediction — Premier Division

Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
Fri, 23 Oct 19:45
Dundalk €2.60m
1 1.74
X 3.90
2 4.45

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick
88%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.22 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derry City 73%@1.74
Draw 14%@3.90
Dundalk 13%@4.45
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 70%@1.60
Under 2.5 30%@3.73
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.58
No 45%@2.25
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 70%@1.41
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What the model expects over a full match.

Derry CityStatDundalk
1.16xG1.22
51%Ball possession49%
15Shots13
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
11Fouls made12

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Derry CityPer gameDundalk
1.9Goals for / game2.1
1.5Goals against / game2.2
55%Ball possession56%
13.1Shots per game16.1
4.7Corners per game6.6
0.99Expected goals1.48

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Derry CityRateDundalk
60%Wins20%
70%Over 1.5100%
50%Over 2.580%
50%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Derry City WLWWD
W 19 Oct Derry City Patrick's A 1 0 3.75 2.12
L 16 Oct Drogheda Derry City 2 0 3.00 2.37
W 10 Oct Galway Derry City 0 2 3.20 2.20
W 18 Sept Derry City Galway 1 0 1.60 5.20
D 14 Sept Waterford Derry City 2 2 2.70 2.48
W 11 Sept Shelbourne Derry City 0 1 2.43 3.00
W 6 Sept Derry City Dundalk 4 2 1.87 3.75
D 30 Aug Derry City Shamrock Rovers 3 3 2.62 2.65
L 21 Aug Bohemians Derry City 5 3 1.89 4.05
W 14 Aug UCD Derry City 1 2 4.80 1.60
Dundalk DLLLD
D 17 Oct Sligo Rovers Dundalk 1 1 4.40 1.71
L 2 Oct Dundalk Bohemians 1 2 4.35 1.67
L 18 Sept Dundalk Shelbourne 2 3 2.57 2.80
L 14 Sept Dundalk Patrick's A 0 4 3.55 2.02
D 11 Sept Waterford Dundalk 1 1 2.30 3.00
L 6 Sept Derry City Dundalk 4 2 1.87 3.75
W 28 Aug Drogheda Dundalk 2 3 3.05 2.25
L 21 Aug Dundalk Galway 1 2 1.90 3.70
W 15 Aug Dundalk Castlebar C 8 0 – –
L 7 Aug Shamrock Rovers Dundalk 3 2 1.92 4.40

Past meetings

Derry City
2·3·1
Dundalk
  • Sept 2026 Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk
  • May 2026 Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry City
  • Apr 2026 Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City
  • Feb 2026 Derry City 2 - 2 Dundalk
  • Oct 2024 Dundalk 0 - 2 Derry City
  • Aug 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Dundalk

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 +19 67
2 Bohemians 36 +19 64
3 Patrick's A 36 +25 61
4 Shelbourne 35 +2 47
5 Dundalk 36 -5 44
6 Derry City 35 +1 43
7 Galway 35 -4 43
8 Waterford 35 -10 38
9 Drogheda 35 -14 36
10 Sligo Rovers 35 -33 26
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day