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Derry City vs Dundalk prediction — FAI Cup

FAI Cup · Ireland
Derry City
Full time 4 : 2
Dundalk €2.60m
1 1.87
X 3.70
2 3.75

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
77%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.22 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derry City 47%@1.87
Draw 27%@3.70
Dundalk 26%@3.75
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 77%@1.22
Under 1.5 23%@4.08
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 63%@1.61
No 37%@2.30
Bet Builder
1X & Over 1.5 55%@1.50
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 2:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Derry CityModelDundalk
1.31xG1.61
47%Ball possession53%
14Shots15
8Shots on goal5
6Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards3
0Offside calls2
11Fouls made14
Derry CityRealDundalk
48%Ball possession52%
7Shots8
4Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks8
2Yellow cards1
4Offside calls2
15Fouls made17
Derry CityReal · ModelDundalk
48%47%Ball possession52%53%
714Shots815
48Shots on goal65
36Corner kicks86
22Yellow cards13
40Offside calls22
1511Fouls made1714

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Derry CityPer gameDundalk
1.7Goals for / game2.3
1.7Goals against / game1.7
48%Ball possession60%
11.6Shots per game19.5
5.6Corners per game8.2

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Derry CityRateDundalk
30%Wins30%
80%Over 1.5100%
60%Over 2.580%
60%BTTS90%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Derry City WDWDL
W 18 Sept Derry City Galway 1 0 1.60 5.20
D 14 Sept Waterford Derry City 2 2 2.70 2.48
W 11 Sept Shelbourne Derry City 0 1 2.43 3.00
D 30 Aug Derry City Shamrock Rovers 3 3 2.62 2.65
L 21 Aug Bohemians Derry City 5 3 1.89 4.05
W 14 Aug UCD Derry City 1 2 4.80 1.60
W 7 Aug Derry City Sligo Rovers 2 0 1.36 8.00
D 2 Aug Patrick's A Derry City 1 1 1.68 5.10
L 30 Jul Derry City Rijeka 0 1 4.00 1.95
L 23 Jul Rijeka Derry City 1 0 1.19 15.00
Dundalk LLLDW
L 2 Oct Dundalk Bohemians 1 2 4.35 1.67
L 18 Sept Dundalk Shelbourne 2 3 2.57 2.80
L 14 Sept Dundalk Patrick's A 0 4 3.55 2.02
D 11 Sept Waterford Dundalk 1 1 2.30 3.00
W 28 Aug Drogheda (Irl) Dundalk 2 3 3.05 2.25
L 21 Aug Dundalk Galway 1 2 1.90 3.70
W 15 Aug Dundalk Castlebar C 8 0 – –
L 7 Aug Shamrock Rovers Dundalk 3 2 1.92 4.40
D 31 Jul Dundalk Sligo Rovers 1 1 1.55 6.00
D 24 Jul Patrick's A Dundalk 1 1 1.47 6.20

Past meetings

Derry City
1·4·1
Dundalk
  • May 2026 Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry City
  • Apr 2026 Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City
  • Feb 2026 Derry City 2 - 2 Dundalk
  • Oct 2024 Dundalk 0 - 2 Derry City
  • Aug 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Dundalk
  • May 2024 Dundalk 0 - 0 Derry City
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