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Derby vs West Brom prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Derby €71.80m
Full time 0 : 1
West Brom €57.85m
1 3.40
X 3.35
2 2.20

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
91%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 13%@3.40
Draw 13%@3.35
West Brom 74%@2.20
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 83%@1.36
Under 1.5 17%@6.64
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 73%@1.80
No 27%@1.98
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 70%@1.75
Half-time 1:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DerbyModelWest Brom
0.77xG1.51
47%Ball possession53%
10Shots12
5Shots on goal8
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
3Offside calls3
14Fouls made10
DerbyRealWest Brom
0.95xG0.38
67%Ball possession33%
13Shots4
3Shots on goal1
11Corner kicks3
0Yellow cards4
4Offside calls4
12Fouls made9
DerbyReal · ModelWest Brom
0.950.77xG0.381.51
67%47%Ball possession33%53%
1310Shots412
35Shots on goal18
115Corner kicks34
03Yellow cards42
43Offside calls43
1214Fouls made910

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DerbyPer gameWest Brom
1.1Goals for / game2.4
1.7Goals against / game1.2
49%Ball possession56%
9.8Shots per game12.1
4.5Corners per game4.0
0.71Expected goals1.47

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DerbyRateWest Brom
20%Wins70%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.570%
60%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Derby DLLWL
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
West Brom LDWDL
L 20 Sept Wolves West Brom 1 0 1.90 4.30
D 12 Sept West Brom QPR 1 1 2.22 3.50
W 5 Sept West Brom Watford 1 0 1.80 4.65
D 2 Sept West Brom Charlton 1 1 1.70 5.40
L 29 Aug Middlesbrough West Brom 3 1 1.74 4.65
L 26 Aug Newcastle West Brom 3 2 1.33 10.50
W 23 Aug West Brom Burnley 3 1 2.63 2.87
W 15 Aug Norwich West Brom 1 2 2.02 3.90
W 8 Aug Rotherham West Brom 1 4 6.00 1.52
W 1 Aug Peterborough West Brom 0 2 4.05 1.76

Past meetings

Derby
3·2·0
West Brom
  • Jan 2026 Derby 1 - 1 West Brom
  • Sept 2025 West Brom 0 - 1 Derby
  • Aug 2025 West Brom 1 - 1 Derby
  • Apr 2025 West Brom 1 - 3 Derby
  • Dec 2024 Derby 2 - 1 West Brom

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day