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Derby vs Swansea prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Derby €58.20m
Full time 0 : 3
Swansea €90.45m
1 2.40
X 3.25
2 3.10

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
73%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.60 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 24%@2.40
Draw 18%@3.25
Swansea 58%@3.10
Goals lineOver/Under 3.5
Over 3.5 24%@4.09
Under 3.5 76%@1.29
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@1.85
No 56%@2.00
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 4.5 67%@1.83
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DerbyModelSwansea
1.25xG1.08
49%Ball possession51%
13Shots10
7Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
3Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
13Fouls made10
DerbyRealSwansea
0.59xG3.13
47%Ball possession53%
8Shots23
0Shots on goal12
5Corner kicks6
3Yellow cards2
5Offside calls4
16Fouls made7
DerbyReal · ModelSwansea
0.591.25xG3.131.08
47%49%Ball possession53%51%
813Shots2310
07Shots on goal124
55Corner kicks64
33Yellow cards22
52Offside calls42
1613Fouls made710

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DerbyPer gameSwansea
1.3Goals for / game1.1
1.6Goals against / game0.9

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DerbyRateSwansea
20%Wins40%
90%Over 1.560%
70%Over 2.540%
80%BTTS40%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Derby DLLLW
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
D 22 Aug Derby Cardiff 2 2 2.15 3.80
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
Swansea WWLDW
W 19 Sept Lincoln Swansea 1 2 3.05 2.45
W 12 Sept Swansea Burnley 3 1 2.12 3.55
L 8 Sept Southampton Swansea 3 1 1.88 4.25
D 5 Sept Swansea Wrexham 0 0 2.27 3.30
W 1 Sept Swansea Watford 2 0 1.90 4.25
D 22 Aug Swansea Sheffield Utd 0 0 2.65 2.80
W 15 Aug Stoke Swansea 1 2 2.40 3.05
L 8 Aug Swansea Birmingham 0 1 2.95 2.33
W 1 Aug Swansea Leganes 1 0 2.02 3.40
L 28 Jul Merthyr Town Swansea 3 0 – –

Past meetings

Derby
2·0·2
Swansea
  • Feb 2026 Derby 2 - 0 Swansea
  • Nov 2025 Swansea 1 - 2 Derby
  • Apr 2025 Swansea 1 - 0 Derby
  • Nov 2024 Derby 1 - 2 Swansea

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
AI Bet Builder: your accumulator, assembled by the model Bet of the Day