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Derby vs Cardiff prediction — Championship

Championship · England
Derby €57.50m
Full time 2 : 2
Cardiff €29.60m
1 2.15
X 3.50
2 3.80

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
75%Chance
Over 1.5 goals O1.5 Odds @1.28 High chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Derby 36%@2.15
Draw 43%@3.50
Cardiff 21%@3.80
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 75%@1.28
Under 1.5 25%@3.84
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 56%@1.74
No 44%@2.12
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@2.22
Half-time 1:0 Model
Exact score 1:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DerbyModelCardiff
1.16xG1.41
47%Ball possession53%
14Shots15
7Shots on goal7
5Corner kicks7
2Yellow cards2
1Offside calls2
14Fouls made10
DerbyRealCardiff
1.62xG1.98
36%Ball possession64%
15Shots16
7Shots on goal7
7Corner kicks7
5Yellow cards1
5Offside calls0
12Fouls made10
DerbyReal · ModelCardiff
1.621.16xG1.981.41
36%47%Ball possession64%53%
1514Shots1615
77Shots on goal77
75Corner kicks77
52Yellow cards12
51Offside calls02
1214Fouls made1010

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DerbyPer gameCardiff
1.4Goals for / game3.2
1.6Goals against / game1.9

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DerbyRateCardiff
30%Wins70%
90%Over 1.590%
70%Over 2.580%
80%BTTS80%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Derby DLLLW
D 19 Sept Burnley Derby 1 1 1.88 4.40
L 12 Sept Derby Birmingham 1 2 3.45 2.25
L 9 Sept Derby West Brom 0 1 3.40 2.20
L 5 Sept West Ham Derby 3 0 1.39 8.50
W 1 Sept Portsmouth Derby 0 2 2.10 3.95
L 29 Aug Derby Swansea 0 3 2.40 3.10
L 15 Aug Charlton Derby 2 1 2.75 2.72
L 8 Aug Derby Lincoln 1 2 2.02 3.40
D 4 Aug Rotherham Derby 1 1 3.90 1.83
L 1 Aug Burton Derby 1 0 3.95 1.86
Cardiff WLDLL
W 19 Sept Cardiff Charlton 3 1 1.75 4.70
L 12 Sept Bolton Cardiff 1 0 2.77 2.43
D 8 Sept Cardiff Stoke 1 1 2.10 3.40
L 5 Sept Portsmouth Cardiff 2 0 2.42 2.95
L 2 Sept QPR Cardiff 2 1 1.98 3.70
D 29 Aug Cardiff Sheffield Utd 2 2 2.82 2.40
L 25 Aug Cardiff Norwich 1 2 2.70 2.43
D 17 Aug Cardiff Wrexham 1 1 2.60 2.75
W 8 Aug Cardiff Swindon 3 2 1.33 8.00
W 1 Aug Cardiff AS Roma 4 1 4.90 1.60

Past meetings

Derby
1·0·1
Cardiff
  • Jan 2025 Cardiff 2 - 1 Derby
  • Sept 2024 Derby 1 - 0 Cardiff

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 +7 19
2 Wolves 11 +5 18
3 West Ham 10 +11 17
4 Middlesbrough 10 +4 17
5 Southampton 10 +9 16
6 West Brom 10 +2 16
7 QPR 10 +3 15
8 Stoke 10 +1 15
9 Bristol City 10 -1 15
10 Charlton 10 -3 14
11 Birmingham 10 +1 13
12 Millwall 10 0 13
13 Lincoln 10 -1 13
14 Wrexham 10 -3 12
15 Bolton 10 -4 12
16 Blackburn 10 0 11
17 Norwich 10 -1 11
18 Portsmouth 10 -1 11
19 Sheffield Utd 10 -2 11
20 Watford 10 -3 10
21 Cardiff 10 -2 9
22 Derby 10 -7 7
23 Burnley 11 -8 7
24 Preston 10 -7 6
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