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Dep. Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield prediction — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Dep. Riestra €10.23m
Full time 1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield €23.98m
1 2.65
X 2.80
2 3.30

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
89%Chance
Under 2.5 goals U2.5 Odds @1.34 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Dep. Riestra 20%@2.65
Draw 19%@2.80
Velez Sarsfield 61%@3.30
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 11%@10.84
Under 2.5 89%@1.34
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 36%@2.50
No 64%@1.52
Bet Builder
X2 & Under 3.5 70%@1.87
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 0:1 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Dep. RiestraModelVelez Sarsfield
1.17xG0.97
39%Ball possession61%
11Shots10
5Shots on goal5
3Corner kicks5
3Yellow cards2
1Offside calls1
16Fouls made11
Dep. RiestraRealVelez Sarsfield
0.63xG0.52
24%Ball possession76%
7Shots12
3Shots on goal5
2Corner kicks6
2Yellow cards1
6Offside calls1
14Fouls made9
Dep. RiestraReal · ModelVelez Sarsfield
0.631.17xG0.520.97
24%39%Ball possession76%61%
711Shots1210
35Shots on goal55
23Corner kicks65
23Yellow cards12
61Offside calls11
1416Fouls made911

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Dep. RiestraPer gameVelez Sarsfield
1.0Goals for / game1.4
1.2Goals against / game0.9
34%Ball possession54%
12.8Shots per game12.4
4.0Corners per game5.7
1.23Expected goals1.25

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Dep. RiestraRateVelez Sarsfield
20%Wins40%
80%Over 1.570%
30%Over 2.530%
50%BTTS60%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Dep. Riestra DLDDD
D 19 Sept Gimnasia M. Dep. Riestra 0 0 2.37 3.60
L 14 Sept Dep. Riestra Lanus 0 3 3.35 2.70
D 9 Sept Dep. Riestra Banfield 1 1 2.70 3.25
D 4 Sept Platense Dep. Riestra 1 1 2.77 3.25
D 23 Aug Huracan Dep. Riestra 0 0 2.35 4.30
D 18 Aug Dep. Riestra Gimnasia L.P. 1 1 3.70 2.55
L 15 Aug Newells Dep. Riestra 2 0 2.92 3.05
W 8 Aug Dep. Riestra Estudiant 2 0 2.80 3.20
L 2 Aug Dep. Riestra Barracas 0 1 2.22 4.40
L 29 Jul Defensa J Dep. Riestra 2 1 2.45 3.85
Velez Sarsfield WDWDD
W 21 Sept Velez Sarsfield Tigre 3 2 2.30 3.65
D 11 Sept Newells Velez Sarsfield 1 1 2.90 2.87
W 6 Sept Velez Sarsfield Estudiant 1 0 2.45 3.55
D 3 Sept Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors 0 0 4.60 1.89
D 23 Aug River Plate Velez Sarsfield 2 2 1.72 6.20
D 17 Aug Velez Sarsfield Defensa J 1 1 1.92 4.75
D 8 Aug Boca Juniors Velez Sarsfield 1 1 1.70 6.00
W 3 Aug Velez Sarsfield Independiente 1 0 2.55 3.15
W 30 Jul Talleres Velez Sarsfield 1 3 2.57 3.45
W 24 Jul Velez Sarsfield Instituto 1 0 2.23 3.95

Past meetings

Dep. Riestra
1·3·0
Velez Sarsfield
  • Feb 2026 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Dep. Riestra
  • Oct 2025 Dep. Riestra 2 - 2 Velez Sarsfield
  • Mar 2025 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Dep. Riestra
  • Nov 2024 Dep. Riestra 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 29 +11 54
2 Belgrano 30 +12 52
3 Rosario Central 29 +9 51
4 Ind. Rivadavia 27 +12 47
5 Instituto 26 +11 47
6 Boca Juniors 26 +16 45
7 River Plate 30 +10 45
8 Gimnasia L.P. 28 0 45
9 Velez Sarsfield 26 +9 43
10 Huracan 27 +8 43
11 Estudiant 27 +9 39
12 Independiente 26 +1 39
13 Union S 28 +2 37
14 Defensa J 26 +1 37
15 Lanus 27 +3 36
16 Racing Club 28 0 36
17 Barracas 25 0 35
18 Gimnasia M. 26 -3 35
19 Sarmiento Junin 26 -6 34
20 Talleres 26 -3 32
21 Newells 25 -6 32
22 Tigre 26 0 29
23 San Lorenzo 26 -8 29
24 Banfield 26 -6 28
25 Atl. Tucuman 25 -4 26
26 Central C 25 -14 25
27 Dep. Riestra 25 -7 22
28 Platense 25 -13 20
29 Aldosivi 26 -18 15
30 Estudiant 26 -26 11
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