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Dep. Pasto vs Fortaleza prediction — Primera A

Primera A · Colombia
1 2.20
X 3.25
2 3.40

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
88%Chance
Home side avoids defeat 1X Odds @1.35 Very high chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Dep. Pasto 73%@2.20
Draw 14%@3.25
Fortaleza 13%@3.40
Goals lineOver/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 39%@2.53
Under 2.5 61%@1.62
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 44%@2.00
No 56%@1.81
Bet Builder
1X & Under 4.5 61%@1.50
Half-time 0:0 Model
Exact score 1:0 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

Dep. PastoModelFortaleza
1.17xG0.75
54%Ball possession46%
14Shots9
4Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks4
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
12Fouls made12
Dep. PastoRealFortaleza
0.27xG0.66
50%Ball possession50%
5Shots12
0Shots on goal6
3Corner kicks1
3Yellow cards1
3Offside calls0
19Fouls made13
Dep. PastoReal · ModelFortaleza
0.271.17xG0.660.75
50%54%Ball possession50%46%
514Shots129
04Shots on goal64
35Corner kicks14
32Yellow cards12
32Offside calls02
1912Fouls made1312

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

Dep. PastoPer gameFortaleza
0.7Goals for / game1.2
1.7Goals against / game1.7
56%Ball possession49%
11.9Shots per game10.8
4.7Corners per game4.1
0.85Expected goals0.62

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

Dep. PastoRateFortaleza
20%Wins10%
70%Over 1.580%
40%Over 2.570%
40%BTTS70%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Dep. Pasto LWWLD
L 26 Sept Chico Dep. Pasto 3 0 2.77 2.90
W 20 Sept Dep. Pasto Once Caldas 1 0 3.60 2.12
W 15 Sept America De Cali Dep. Pasto 0 1 1.26 12.50
L 10 Sept Dep. Pasto Ind. Medellin 1 4 3.75 2.08
D 6 Sept Cucuta Dep. Pasto 2 2 2.23 3.30
L 1 Sept Dep. Pasto Pereira 1 2 1.67 6.40
D 28 Aug Inter Bogotá Dep. Pasto 1 1 1.67 5.80
L 23 Aug Dep. Pasto Llaneros 0 1 2.05 5.10
L 9 Aug Dep. Pasto Dep. Cali 0 2 3.00 2.75
L 5 Aug Millonarios Dep. Pasto 2 0 1.37 10.00
Fortaleza DLDDL
D 28 Sept Fortaleza Deportes 2 2 3.70 2.12
L 20 Sept Fortaleza Junior 1 4 2.40 2.95
D 12 Sept Jaguares Fortaleza 2 2 2.30 3.50
D 6 Sept Santa Fe Fortaleza 2 2 1.78 4.99
L 2 Sept Fortaleza Once Caldas 1 2 3.25 2.25
D 26 Aug Chico Fortaleza 0 0 2.92 2.88
L 23 Aug Fortaleza Atl. Nacional 1 2 6.40 1.67
W 8 Aug Fortaleza Cucuta 2 0 1.65 5.90
L 4 Aug Llaneros Fortaleza 3 1 2.15 3.90
D 1 Aug Fortaleza Pereira 0 0 1.52 8.00

Past meetings

Dep. Pasto
3·1·1
Fortaleza
  • Mar 2026 Fortaleza 1 - 2 Dep. Pasto
  • Oct 2025 Fortaleza 2 - 0 Dep. Pasto
  • May 2025 Dep. Pasto 1 - 0 Fortaleza
  • Sept 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 0 Dep. Pasto
  • Mar 2024 Dep. Pasto 1 - 0 Fortaleza

Table

Each team's place in the current table.

# Team P GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 36 +35 76
2 America De Cali 31 +19 55
3 Junior 36 +7 52
4 Deportes 33 +9 51
5 Santa Fe 31 +16 49
6 Millonarios 30 +18 48
7 Ind. Medellin 29 +9 47
8 Dep. Cali 28 +12 46
9 Once Caldas 30 +7 44
10 Bucaramanga 26 +10 38
11 Inter Bogotá 32 -10 36
12 Aguilas 28 -7 35
13 Dep. Pasto 29 -8 34
14 Cucuta 27 -14 30
15 Chico 27 -19 29
16 Llaneros 28 -8 28
17 Alianza 28 -18 28
18 Fortaleza 27 -11 26
19 Jaguares 29 -22 23
20 Pereira 29 -25 18