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Denmark vs Portugal prediction — UEFA Nations League

1 4.00
X 3.90
2 2.00

AI picks by market

Each bar is the chance our model gives an outcome, so a longer bar means a likelier result.

Top pick Won ✓
58%Chance
Away side avoids defeat X2 Odds @1.27 Moderate chance
Full-time result1X2 · win %
Denmark 28%@4.00
Draw 28%@3.90
Portugal 44%@2.00
Goals lineOver/Under 1.5
Over 1.5 63%@1.22
Under 1.5 37%@2.08
Both teams to scoreBTTS
Yes 55%@1.60
No 45%@2.32
Bet Builder
X2 & Over 1.5 55%@1.48
Half-time 0:1 Model
Exact score 1:2 Likeliest

Forecast statistics

What we forecast, set beside what actually happened.

DenmarkModelPortugal
1.46xG1.39
53%Ball possession47%
15Shots15
5Shots on goal4
5Corner kicks5
2Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
10Fouls made11
DenmarkRealPortugal
0.68xG2.75
54%Ball possession46%
12Shots19
3Shots on goal10
3Corner kicks7
1Yellow cards2
2Offside calls2
6Fouls made12
DenmarkReal · ModelPortugal
0.681.46xG2.751.39
54%53%Ball possession46%47%
1215Shots1915
35Shots on goal104
35Corner kicks75
12Yellow cards22
22Offside calls22
610Fouls made1211

This season

Both teams' numbers over the whole season.

DenmarkPer gamePortugal
2.5Goals for / game1.7
1.3Goals against / game0.6
63%Ball possession57%
18.5Shots per game13.9
6.5Corners per game5.4
1.99Expected goals1.38

Lately

Each team's hit rate on these outcomes.

DenmarkRatePortugal
50%Wins70%
90%Over 1.570%
80%Over 2.550%
60%BTTS50%

Latest form

Each team's most recent games.

Denmark WWLWD
W 4 Oct Wales Denmark 0 1 3.80 2.15
W 27 Sept Denmark Wales 2 0 1.44 7.60
L 24 Sept Norway Denmark 3 2 1.70 5.25
W 7 Jun Denmark Ukraine 2 1 1.85 5.00
D 3 Jun Congo DR Denmark 0 0 6.60 1.64
D 31 Mar Czechia Denmark 2 2 4.10 2.10
W 26 Mar Denmark Macedonia 4 0 1.22 18.00
L 18 Nov Scotland Denmark 4 2 3.60 2.25
D 15 Nov Denmark Belarus 2 2 1.06 35.00
W 12 Oct Denmark Greece 3 1 1.64 5.40
Portugal WWWLW
W 4 Oct Portugal Norway 2 1 1.74 4.55
W 27 Sept Norway Portugal 1 2 2.42 2.95
W 24 Sept Portugal Wales 1 0 1.19 18.00
L 6 Jul Portugal Spain 0 1 4.25 2.02
W 3 Jul Portugal Croatia 2 1 1.77 5.65
D 28 Jun Colombia Portugal 0 0 4.15 1.91
W 23 Jun Portugal Uzbekistan 5 0 1.18 23.00
D 17 Jun Portugal Congo DR 1 1 1.33 12.50
W 10 Jun Portugal Nigeria 2 1 1.41 9.00
W 6 Jun Portugal Chile 2 1 1.23 14.50

Past meetings

Denmark
1·0·1
Portugal
  • Mar 2025 Portugal 5 - 2 Denmark
  • Mar 2025 Denmark 1 - 0 Portugal